Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM EDT Tue May 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South central North Carolina
Northeast South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 845 PM
until 100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of supercells along a front will continue to move
east-southeastward through early tonight, with other storms to the
west following a similar path before weakening later tonight. In
the meantime, large hail and damaging winds can be expected with the
strongest storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles northwest of
Florence SC to 20 miles southeast of Wilmington NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 168...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM EDT Tue May 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South central North Carolina
Northeast South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 845 PM
until 100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of supercells along a front will continue to move
east-southeastward through early tonight, with other storms to the
west following a similar path before weakening later tonight. In
the meantime, large hail and damaging winds can be expected with the
strongest storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles northwest of
Florence SC to 20 miles southeast of Wilmington NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 168...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 169 SEVERE TSTM NC SC CW 060045Z - 060500Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5NW FLO/FLORENCE SC/ - 20SE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /6W FLO - 20SSE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 34747978 34577765 33567765 33727978
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 169 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 169
VALID 060135Z - 060240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/06/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-047-129-141-060240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS NEW HANOVER
PENDER
$$
SCC041-051-067-060240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLORENCE HORRY MARION
$$
AMZ250-252-254-060240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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