Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Thu May 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Texas
* Effective this Thursday evening from 820 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Long-lived supercell with a history of very large hail is
expected to weaken as it moves from western north Texas into a
portion of north-central Texas. Until it decays, a risk exists for
large hail and isolated severe wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Mineral
Wells TX to 15 miles south southeast of Mineral Wells TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Grams
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Thu May 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Texas
* Effective this Thursday evening from 820 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Long-lived supercell with a history of very large hail is
expected to weaken as it moves from western north Texas into a
portion of north-central Texas. Until it decays, a risk exists for
large hail and isolated severe wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Mineral
Wells TX to 15 miles south southeast of Mineral Wells TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 172 SEVERE TSTM TX 080120Z - 080400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55N MWL/MINERAL WELLS TX/ - 15SSE MWL/MINERAL WELLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /36SE SPS - 50WSW TTT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30035.
LAT...LON 33579729 32589720 32589874 33579885
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 172 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 172
VALID 080305Z - 080440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW SEP TO
25 NW MWL TO 25 ESE SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 553
..BENTLEY..05/08/20
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC237-363-367-439-497-080440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACK PALO PINTO PARKER
TARRANT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
