Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 PM CDT Mon May 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far southeast New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 535 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should continue to increase in coverage this
evening with a few embedded supercells with large hail as the
primary initial threat. Eventual consolidation into an
eastward-moving cluster or two may occur with an increasing threat
for severe wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast
of Hobbs NM to 55 miles southeast of Marfa TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 176 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 112235Z - 120500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ENE HOB/HOBBS NM/ - 55SE MRF/MARFA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /55SSW LBB - 42SE MRF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 32910112 29800204 29800471 32910388
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 176 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 176
VALID 120425Z - 120500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE BGS TO
40 N MAF TO 55 SSW LBB.
REMAING VALID PORTION OF WW 176 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 12/05Z.
..KERR..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-115-120500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN DAWSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 176
VALID 120345Z - 120440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE 6R6
TO 40 E FST TO 40 S MAF TO 25 S BGS TO 10 SE BGS TO 30 WNW MAF TO
35 E HOB TO 50 ENE HOB.
..KERR..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-115-165-227-317-383-461-120440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN DAWSON
GAINES HOWARD MARTIN
REAGAN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 176
VALID 120255Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE 6R6 TO
15 S FST TO 35 SSW MAF TO 30 NE INK TO 20 NE HOB.
..KERR..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-103-115-135-165-173-227-317-329-371-383-461-120340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CRANE
DAWSON ECTOR GAINES
GLASSCOCK HOWARD MARTIN
MIDLAND PECOS REAGAN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 176
VALID 120235Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE MRF TO
20 E INK TO 20 NE HOB.
..KERR..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-043-103-115-135-165-173-227-317-329-371-383-443-461-
120340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
CRANE DAWSON ECTOR
GAINES GLASSCOCK HOWARD
MARTIN MIDLAND PECOS
REAGAN TERRELL UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 176
VALID 120150Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MRF
TO 40 N MRF TO 30 SW INK TO 20 SSE HOB TO 25 NNE HOB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 569
..LYONS..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-120240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-329-371-
377-383-389-443-461-475-495-120240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
CRANE CULBERSON DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK
HOWARD JEFF DAVIS LOVING
MARTIN MIDLAND PECOS
PRESIDIO REAGAN REEVES
TERRELL UPTON WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 176
VALID 120035Z - 120140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 568
..LYONS..05/12/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-120140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-329-371-
377-383-389-443-461-475-495-120140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
CRANE CULBERSON DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK
HOWARD JEFF DAVIS LOVING
MARTIN MIDLAND PECOS
PRESIDIO REAGAN REEVES
TERRELL UPTON WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 176
VALID 112340Z - 120040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 568
..LYONS..05/11/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-120040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-329-371-
377-383-389-443-461-475-495-120040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
CRANE CULBERSON DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK
HOWARD JEFF DAVIS LOVING
MARTIN MIDLAND PECOS
PRESIDIO REAGAN REEVES
TERRELL UPTON WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.