Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
The eastern Texas Panhandle and the Texas South Plains
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected along a dryline in
west Texas during the next 1-2 hours. Storms Will likely form from
an area of developing cumulus clouds west-northwest of Lubbock and
more isolated storms along the dryline toward the northeast Texas
Panhandle. The storms near Lubbock will tend to be high based and
capable of producing damaging outflow winds and hail as convection
grows into a larger cluster late this afternoon/evening. The storm
environment could support supercells with isolated very large hail
across the eastern Texas Panhandle with the more isolated, initial
storms. A tornado cannot be ruled out, especially if any discrete
storms can persist as far east as the western Oklahoma border.
Otherwise, a cluster of storms will likely spread into western
Oklahoma this evening with an attendant threat for damaging winds
and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north northwest
of Clinton OK to 75 miles south southwest of Childress TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CDT Wed May 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Oklahoma
The eastern Texas Panhandle and the Texas South Plains
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected along a dryline in
west Texas during the next 1-2 hours. Storms Will likely form from
an area of developing cumulus clouds west-northwest of Lubbock and
more isolated storms along the dryline toward the northeast Texas
Panhandle. The storms near Lubbock will tend to be high based and
capable of producing damaging outflow winds and hail as convection
grows into a larger cluster late this afternoon/evening. The storm
environment could support supercells with isolated very large hail
across the eastern Texas Panhandle with the more isolated, initial
storms. A tornado cannot be ruled out, especially if any discrete
storms can persist as far east as the western Oklahoma border.
Otherwise, a cluster of storms will likely spread into western
Oklahoma this evening with an attendant threat for damaging winds
and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north northwest
of Clinton OK to 75 miles south southwest of Childress TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 179 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 131945Z - 140300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75NNW CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 75SSW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /8E MMB - 59ESE LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 36329819 33419930 33410225 36320124
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 179 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 179
VALID 140155Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE HOB TO
50 E LBB TO 15 ENE CDS TO 35 W CSM TO 70 WSW AVK.
..BROYLES..05/14/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-039-043-045-055-057-065-075-129-141-149-153-140240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GREER HARMON
JACKSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC023-101-107-125-155-169-197-263-269-275-305-433-445-487-
140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS FOARD GARZA
HARDEMAN KENT KING
KNOX LYNN STONEWALL
TERRY WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 179
VALID 132340Z - 140040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W PVW TO
20 ENE PVW TO 35 SSE LBL.
..BROYLES..05/13/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-039-043-045-055-057-065-075-129-141-149-153-140040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GREER HARMON
JACKSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC023-045-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-189-191-197-
211-219-263-269-275-279-295-303-305-345-357-393-433-445-483-487-
140040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR BRISCOE CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HARDEMAN
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY KENT
KING KNOX LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOTLEY OCHILTREE ROBERTS
STONEWALL TERRY WHEELER
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 179
VALID 132250Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/13/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-039-043-045-055-057-065-075-129-141-149-153-132340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CUSTER DEWEY
ELLIS GREER HARMON
JACKSON KIOWA ROGER MILLS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-023-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-155-169-179-189-
191-197-211-219-263-269-275-279-295-303-305-345-357-393-433-437-
445-483-487-132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAYLOR BRISCOE
CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD FOARD
GARZA GRAY HALE
HALL HARDEMAN HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY KENT KING
KNOX LAMB LIPSCOMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY
OCHILTREE ROBERTS STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY WHEELER
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.