Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 425 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop along a line from
southwest Iowa into northeast Kansas, then track eastward across the
watch area. The strongest cells will pose a risk of damaging wind
gusts and large hail during most of the evening hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles south of Topeka
KS to 25 miles north of Knoxville IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 182
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 425 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop along a line from
southwest Iowa into northeast Kansas, then track eastward across the
watch area. The strongest cells will pose a risk of damaging wind
gusts and large hail during most of the evening hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles south of Topeka
KS to 25 miles north of Knoxville IA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 182 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO 142125Z - 150500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35S TOP/TOPEKA KS/ - 25N OXV/KNOXVILLE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /56WNW BUM - 27ENE DSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38569664 41669419 41669205 38569460
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 182 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 182
VALID 150445Z - 150540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W EMP TO
20 NW OJC TO 10 SE STJ TO 25 N STJ TO 30 WSW LWD TO 25 SSE LWD TO
30 S OTM.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-031-045-059-091-121-209-150540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JOHNSON MIAMI
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-095-117-177-197-211-150540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW CALDWELL CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY JACKSON
LIVINGSTON RAY SCHUYLER
SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 182
VALID 150400Z - 150540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E MHK TO
40 NNE STJ TO 40 WNW IRK TO 5 E OTM.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-005-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-139-177-
197-209-150540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON COFFEY
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LYON MIAMI
MORRIS OSAGE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-095-117-165-177-197-211-
150540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
JACKSON LIVINGSTON PLATTE
RAY SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 182
VALID 150245Z - 150340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW FNB
TO 25 NNE LWD TO 35 WSW CID.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-051-053-117-123-135-159-179-185-150340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS DECATUR
LUCAS MAHASKA MONROE
RINGGOLD WAPELLO WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-
131-139-149-161-177-197-209-150340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MIAMI MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-147-
165-171-177-197-211-227-150340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LIVINGSTON MERCER NODAWAY
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 182
VALID 150035Z - 150140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE SDA
TO 20 S DSM TO 25 W CID.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-117-123-125-135-157-159-179-185-150140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD WAPELLO WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-
131-139-149-161-177-197-209-150140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MIAMI MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-147-
165-171-177-197-211-227-150140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LIVINGSTON MERCER NODAWAY
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 182
VALID 142335Z - 150040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE SDA
TO 20 S DSM TO 35 NE DSM.
..BROYLES..05/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-099-117-123-125-135-157-159-179-181-185-
150040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MAHASKA MARION MONROE
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD WAPELLO
WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-139-
177-197-209-150040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LYON
MIAMI MORRIS OSAGE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-147-
165-171-177-197-211-227-150040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LIVINGSTON MERCER NODAWAY
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 182
VALID 142230Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-049-051-053-099-117-121-123-125-135-153-157-159-173-
175-179-181-185-142340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DALLAS
DAVIS DECATUR JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-139-
177-197-209-142340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LYON
MIAMI MORRIS OSAGE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-147-
165-171-177-197-211-227-142340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LIVINGSTON MERCER NODAWAY
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.