Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 184
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Central Missouri
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1120 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several lines and clusters of thunderstorms will move
across the watch area overnight, posing the risks of damaging wind
gusts and hail in the more intense storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles southwest of
Chanute KS to 25 miles north northeast of Quincy IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 182...WW 183...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 184
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 PM CDT Thu May 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Illinois
Southeast Kansas
Central Missouri
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1120 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several lines and clusters of thunderstorms will move
across the watch area overnight, posing the risks of damaging wind
gusts and hail in the more intense storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles southwest of
Chanute KS to 25 miles north northeast of Quincy IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 182...WW 183...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 184 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO 150420Z - 151000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 25NNE UIN/QUINCY IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /47W OSW - 29NNE UIN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 37099737 40289225 40288979 37099501
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 184 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 184
VALID 150740Z - 150840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW EMP
TO 50 N SGF.
..GOSS..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 184
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC149-150840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIKE
$$
KSC011-019-021-035-037-049-099-125-150840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
LABETTE MONTGOMERY
$$
MOC011-027-029-039-051-085-131-141-163-217-150840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE HICKORY
MILLER MORGAN PIKE
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 184
VALID 150625Z - 150740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW EMP
TO 55 SW SZL TO 45 S IRK TO 45 SSE IRK TO 40 NE UIN.
..GOSS..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 184
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-150740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
150740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC007-011-015-019-027-029-039-051-053-083-085-089-127-131-135-
137-141-159-163-173-175-185-217-150740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARTON BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR COLE COOPER
HENRY HICKORY HOWARD
MARION MILLER MONITEAU
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 184
VALID 150520Z - 150640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 184
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-150640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-091-099-107-121-125-133-
205-207-150640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
JOHNSON LABETTE LINN
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC001-007-011-013-015-019-025-027-029-033-037-039-041-047-051-
053-083-085-089-095-101-103-107-111-115-117-121-127-131-135-137-
141-159-163-173-175-177-185-195-205-217-150640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR AUDRAIN BARTON
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALDWELL CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CARROLL CASS CEDAR
CHARITON CLAY COLE
COOPER HENRY HICKORY
HOWARD JACKSON JOHNSON
KNOX LAFAYETTE LEWIS
LINN LIVINGSTON MACON
MARION MILLER MONITEAU
MONROE MORGAN PETTIS
PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH
RAY ST. CLAIR SALINE
SHELBY VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.