Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 188
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
west through central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Numerous storms are expected to develop along and ahead of
the dryline across west Texas and grow upscale into a linear MCS as
they move east later this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind and
large hail are likely with the stronger storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 130
statute miles east and west of a line from 90 miles north of Abilene
TX to 40 miles southeast of Dryden TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 186...WW 187...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Dial
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 188 SEVERE TSTM TX 151955Z - 160300Z
AXIS..130 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
90N ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 40SE 6R6/DRYDEN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 115NM E/W /49SE CDS - 53WNW DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33709742 29619957 29610390 33700194
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 188 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 188
VALID 160250Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW HDO
TO 25 ESE JCT TO 15 WSW BWD TO 15 SE SPS.
..BROYLES..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-319-411-160340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN MASON SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 188
VALID 160050Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW DRT TO
55 N DRT TO 50 SSW SJT TO 40 W SJT TO 30 SE BGS TO 55 W ABI TO 45
SSE CDS.
..BROYLES..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-049-059-081-083-093-095-133-137-143-151-171-207-235-237-
253-265-267-271-299-307-319-323-327-333-353-363-385-399-411-413-
417-429-431-433-435-441-447-451-463-503-507-160140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO EASTLAND EDWARDS
ERATH FISHER GILLESPIE
HASKELL IRION JACK
JONES KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LLANO MCCULLOCH
MASON MAVERICK MENARD
MILLS NOLAN PALO PINTO
REAL RUNNELS SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UVALDE YOUNG ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 188
VALID 152335Z - 160040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S 6R6 TO
35 NE 6R6 TO 65 SSE MAF TO 20 SSW MAF TO 50 SW LBB.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-105-107-115-125-133-137-
143-151-169-171-173-207-227-235-237-253-263-265-267-269-271-299-
303-305-307-317-319-327-329-333-335-345-353-363-383-385-399-411-
413-415-417-429-431-433-435-441-445-447-451-465-503-160040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
CHILDRESS COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO COTTLE
CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS EASTLAND EDWARDS
ERATH FISHER GARZA
GILLESPIE GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KERR
KIMBLE KING KINNEY
LLANO LUBBOCK LYNN
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MASON
MENARD MIDLAND MILLS
MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN
PALO PINTO REAGAN REAL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN VAL VERDE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 188
VALID 152245Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSE MRF
TO 35 ESE FST TO 45 ENE HOB.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-103-105-107-115-125-
133-135-137-143-151-169-171-173-207-227-235-237-253-263-265-267-
269-271-299-303-305-307-317-319-327-329-333-335-345-353-363-383-
385-399-411-413-415-417-429-431-433-435-441-443-445-447-451-461-
465-503-152340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
COTTLE CRANE CROCKETT
CROSBY DAWSON DICKENS
EASTLAND ECTOR EDWARDS
ERATH FISHER GARZA
GILLESPIE GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KERR
KIMBLE KING KINNEY
LLANO LUBBOCK LYNN
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MASON
MENARD MIDLAND MILLS
MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN
PALO PINTO REAGAN REAL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 188
VALID 152135Z - 152240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-043-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-103-105-107-115-
125-133-135-137-143-151-165-169-171-173-207-227-235-237-253-263-
265-267-269-271-299-303-305-307-317-319-327-329-333-335-345-353-
363-371-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-429-431-433-435-441-443-445-
447-451-461-465-503-152240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
BROWN CALLAHAN CHILDRESS
COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COTTLE CRANE
CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS EASTLAND ECTOR
EDWARDS ERATH FISHER
GAINES GARZA GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JACK JONES
KENT KERR KIMBLE
KING KINNEY LLANO
LUBBOCK LYNN MCCULLOCH
MARTIN MASON MENARD
MIDLAND MILLS MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN PALO PINTO
PECOS REAGAN REAL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 188
VALID 152055Z - 152140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/15/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 188
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-043-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-103-105-107-115-
125-133-135-137-143-151-165-169-171-173-207-227-235-237-253-263-
265-267-269-271-299-303-305-307-317-319-327-329-333-335-345-353-
363-371-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-429-431-433-435-441-443-445-
447-451-461-465-503-152140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
BROWN CALLAHAN CHILDRESS
COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO COTTLE CRANE
CROCKETT CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS EASTLAND ECTOR
EDWARDS ERATH FISHER
GAINES GARZA GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JACK JONES
KENT KERR KIMBLE
KING KINNEY LLANO
LUBBOCK LYNN MCCULLOCH
MARTIN MASON MENARD
MIDLAND MILLS MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN PALO PINTO
PECOS REAGAN REAL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.