Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 189
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
915 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 915 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...An expansive line of thunderstorms will track across much
of central Texas tonight, with the potential for large hail and
damaging wind gusts in the strongest cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Sherman TX to 40 miles southwest of Alice TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 186...WW 188...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 189
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
915 PM CDT Fri May 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 915 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...An expansive line of thunderstorms will track across much
of central Texas tonight, with the potential for large hail and
damaging wind gusts in the strongest cells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Sherman TX to 40 miles southwest of Alice TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 186...WW 188...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 189 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 160215Z - 160900Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW GYI/SHERMAN TX/ - 40SW ALI/ALICE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /18S ADM - 50E LRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 33919593 27319727 27319971 33919854
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 189 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 189
VALID 160745Z - 160840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW LRD TO
25 W ALI TO 15 NE CRP TO 40 S VCT.
..GOSS..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-057-131-249-273-355-391-409-479-160840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS CALHOUN DUVAL
JIM WELLS KLEBERG NUECES
REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO WEBB
$$
GMZ230-235-250-255-160840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O CONNOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 189
VALID 160515Z - 160640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW LRD
TO 20 NE COT TO 10 SSE SAT TO 10 NNW BAZ TO 20 ENE SEP TO 35 NE
CRS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 611
..MOORE..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-021-025-027-035-055-057-099-123-131-145-149-175-177-
187-209-217-249-255-273-283-285-287-297-309-311-331-355-391-409-
453-469-479-491-493-160640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BASTROP
BEE BELL BOSQUE
CALDWELL CALHOUN CORYELL
DEWITT DUVAL FALLS
FAYETTE GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAYS HILL
JIM WELLS KARNES KLEBERG
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK MCLENNAN MCMULLEN
MILAM NUECES REFUGIO
SAN PATRICIO TRAVIS VICTORIA
WEBB WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
GMZ230-235-250-255-160640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O CONNOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 189
VALID 160425Z - 160540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSE DRT
TO 35 NW COT TO 40 NNE HDO TO 60 E JCT TO 50 SSE BWD TO 30 E BWD
TO 15 NW SEP TO 10 SE MWL TO 10 SE FTW TO 40 NW TYR.
..MOORE..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-021-025-027-029-031-035-053-055-057-091-099-123-127-
131-139-143-145-149-163-175-177-187-193-209-217-221-249-251-255-
259-273-281-283-285-287-297-309-311-325-331-355-391-409-425-453-
469-479-491-493-160540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BASTROP
BEE BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BOSQUE BURNET
CALDWELL CALHOUN COMAL
CORYELL DEWITT DIMMIT
DUVAL ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FAYETTE FRIO
GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE
HAMILTON HAYS HILL
HOOD JIM WELLS JOHNSON
KARNES KENDALL KLEBERG
LAMPASAS LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK MCLENNAN
MCMULLEN MEDINA MILAM
NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO
SOMERVELL TRAVIS VICTORIA
WEBB WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
GMZ230-235-250-255-160540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O CONNOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 189
VALID 160340Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE DRT
TO 40 WSW HDO TO 45 SSW BWD TO 30 WNW MWL TO 15 ENE SPS.
..MOORE..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-019-021-025-027-029-031-035-053-055-057-085-091-093-
097-099-113-121-123-127-131-139-143-145-149-163-171-175-177-187-
193-209-217-221-237-249-251-255-259-273-281-283-285-287-297-299-
309-311-323-325-331-333-337-355-363-367-391-409-425-439-453-469-
479-491-493-497-507-160440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BANDERA
BASTROP BEE BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET CALDWELL CALHOUN
COLLIN COMAL COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON DEWITT DIMMIT
DUVAL ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FAYETTE FRIO
GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAMILTON HAYS
HILL HOOD JACK
JIM WELLS JOHNSON KARNES
KENDALL KLEBERG LAMPASAS
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK LLANO MCLENNAN
MCMULLEN MAVERICK MEDINA
MILAM MILLS MONTAGUE
NUECES PALO PINTO PARKER
REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO SOMERVELL
TARRANT TRAVIS VICTORIA
WEBB WILLIAMSON WILSON
WISE ZAVALA
$$
GMZ230-235-250-255-160440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O CONNOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 189
VALID 160250Z - 160340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/16/20
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC007-013-019-021-025-027-029-031-035-053-055-057-085-091-093-
097-099-113-121-123-127-131-133-139-143-145-149-163-171-175-177-
187-193-209-217-221-237-249-251-255-259-265-273-281-283-285-287-
297-299-309-311-323-325-331-333-337-355-363-367-385-391-409-425-
439-453-463-469-479-491-493-497-507-160340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARANSAS ATASCOSA BANDERA
BASTROP BEE BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET CALDWELL CALHOUN
COLLIN COMAL COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DENTON DEWITT DIMMIT
DUVAL EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FAYETTE
FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE HAMILTON
HAYS HILL HOOD
JACK JIM WELLS JOHNSON
KARNES KENDALL KERR
KLEBERG LAMPASAS LA SALLE
LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK
LLANO MCLENNAN MCMULLEN
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MILLS MONTAGUE NUECES
PALO PINTO PARKER REAL
REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO SOMERVELL
TARRANT TRAVIS UVALDE
VICTORIA WEBB WILLIAMSON
WILSON WISE ZAVALA
$$
GMZ230-235-250-255-160340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O CONNOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.