Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 192
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
410 PM CDT Sun May 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East-central and southeast Illinois
Western Indiana
Northwest Kentucky
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 410 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Bands of storms and possibly a few supercells will
continue to organize and at least somewhat intensify late this
afternoon through early evening. Isolated damaging winds and
possibly a tornado or two could occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of
Danville IL to 45 miles east southeast of Carbondale IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
23035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 192 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY 172110Z - 180300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20N DNV/DANVILLE IL/ - 45ESE MDH/CARBONDALE IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /25W BVT - 42SW PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 40488655 37528749 37528949 40488865
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 192 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 192
VALID 180200Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE EVV
TO 25 NNE EVV TO 40 SW BMG TO 20 WNW BMG.
..DIAL..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 192
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC027-055-119-125-173-180340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAVIESS GREENE OWEN
PIKE WARRICK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 192
VALID 180030Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE PAH TO
25 NW EVV TO 40 SSW HUF TO 20 WNW HUF TO 20 N DNV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 624
..DIAL..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 192
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-033-045-183-180140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD EDGAR
VERMILION
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-180140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MONTGOMERY OWEN PARKE
PIKE POSEY PUTNAM
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE VANDERBURGH
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
WARRICK
$$
KYC101-225-180140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 192
VALID 172335Z - 180040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE MDH TO
30 ENE SLO TO 5 S CMI TO 30 N CMI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 624
..DIAL..05/17/20
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 192
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-047-059-065-069-079-087-101-
151-159-165-183-185-191-193-180040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JASPER JOHNSON LAWRENCE
POPE RICHLAND SALINE
VERMILION WABASH WAYNE
WHITE
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-180040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MONTGOMERY OWEN PARKE
PIKE POSEY PUTNAM
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE VANDERBURGH
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
WARRICK
$$
KYC101-225-180040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 192
VALID 172235Z - 172340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE MDH
TO 10 ENE MVN TO 30 NNE SLO TO 25 S DEC TO 20 E BMI.
..DIAL..05/17/20
ATTN...WFO...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 192
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-047-049-055-059-065-069-079-
087-101-139-147-151-159-165-173-183-185-191-193-199-172340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS
EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER
JOHNSON LAWRENCE MOULTRIE
PIATT POPE RICHLAND
SALINE SHELBY VERMILION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-163-
165-167-171-173-172340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MONTGOMERY OWEN PARKE
PIKE POSEY PUTNAM
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE VANDERBURGH
VERMILLION VIGO WARREN
WARRICK
$$
KYC101-225-172340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.