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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 193
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM EDT Mon May 18 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Kentucky
Central and Southern Ohio
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
SUMMARY...Bands of storms including a few semi-discrete/embedded
supercells aside from more prevalent bowing segments will continue
to increase and organize within a moist environment ahead of an
eastward-moving cold front.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Columbus OH
to 30 miles south southwest of London KY. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 21030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 193 TORNADO KY OH 181815Z - 190100Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW CMH/COLUMBUS OH/ - 30SSW LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /39NW APE - 23SSW LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
LAT...LON 40598235 36688348 36688510 40598407
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 193 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 193
VALID 190035Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CSV
TO 5 E LOZ TO 50 ENE LEX TO 30 SE CMH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 633
..MOORE..05/19/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-043-051-063-089-095-109-119-121-129-131-153-165-175-
189-193-205-235-237-190140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CARTER
CLAY ELLIOTT GREENUP
HARLAN JACKSON KNOTT
KNOX LEE LESLIE
MAGOFFIN MENIFEE MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY ROWAN
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
OHC079-163-190140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JACKSON VINTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 193
VALID 182335Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE CSV
TO 15 NW LOZ TO 25 E LEX TO 40 ENE LEX TO 25 ESE LUK TO 35 SE DAY
TO 35 SE FDY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 633
..MOORE..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-025-043-051-063-065-069-089-095-109-119-121-125-129-
131-135-147-153-161-165-173-175-189-193-197-205-235-237-
190040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLEMING GREENUP
HARLAN JACKSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LEWIS MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MASON MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY POWELL ROWAN
WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
OHC001-015-041-045-047-049-071-073-079-083-089-097-101-117-129-
131-141-145-163-190040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN DELAWARE
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
KNOX LICKING MADISON
MARION MORROW PICKAWAY
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
VINTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 193
VALID 182240Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CSV TO
40 NW LOZ TO 10 SE LEX TO 35 NNE LEX TO 30 SSE DAY TO 20 SW FDY.
..MOORE..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-017-023-025-043-049-051-063-065-069-089-095-109-119-
121-125-129-131-135-147-151-153-161-165-173-175-181-189-193-197-
199-201-203-205-235-237-182340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOURBON
BRACKEN BREATHITT CARTER
CLARK CLAY ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLEMING GREENUP
HARLAN JACKSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LEWIS MCCREARY
MADISON MAGOFFIN MASON
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS OWSLEY PERRY
POWELL PULASKI ROBERTSON
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC001-015-021-023-025-027-041-045-047-049-057-065-071-073-079-
083-089-091-097-101-117-129-131-141-145-159-163-182340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HARDIN
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
KNOX LICKING LOGAN
MADISON MARION MORROW
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO UNION VINTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 193
VALID 182140Z - 182240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW CSV
TO 60 W LOZ TO 20 SSW LEX TO 15 N LEX TO 35 SSW LUK TO 30 SSW DAY
TO 25 SW FDY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 631
..MOORE..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-017-023-025-037-043-045-049-051-053-063-065-067-069-
079-089-095-097-109-113-119-121-125-129-131-135-137-147-151-153-
161-165-173-175-181-189-191-193-197-199-201-203-205-207-209-231-
235-237-182240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOURBON
BRACKEN BREATHITT CAMPBELL
CARTER CASEY CLARK
CLAY CLINTON ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
GARRARD GREENUP HARLAN
HARRISON JACKSON JESSAMINE
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LEE LESLIE LEWIS
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MASON MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NICHOLAS
OWSLEY PENDLETON PERRY
POWELL PULASKI ROBERTSON
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SCOTT WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC001-015-021-023-025-027-041-045-047-049-057-065-071-073-079-
083-089-091-097-101-117-129-131-141-145-159-163-165-182240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HARDIN
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
KNOX LICKING LOGAN
MADISON MARION MORROW
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO UNION VINTON
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 193
VALID 182040Z - 182140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 631
..MOSIER..05/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...ILN...RLX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-011-013-017-021-023-025-037-043-045-049-051-053-057-063-
065-067-069-079-089-095-097-109-113-119-121-125-129-131-135-137-
147-151-153-161-165-167-173-175-181-189-191-193-197-199-201-203-
205-207-209-231-235-237-239-182140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BATH BELL
BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN
BREATHITT CAMPBELL CARTER
CASEY CLARK CLAY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT
ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING
GARRARD GREENUP HARLAN
HARRISON JACKSON JESSAMINE
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LEE LESLIE LEWIS
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MAGOFFIN MASON MENIFEE
MERCER MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS OWSLEY PENDLETON
PERRY POWELL PULASKI
ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
RUSSELL SCOTT WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-015-021-023-025-027-041-045-047-049-057-065-071-073-079-
083-089-091-097-101-117-129-131-141-145-159-163-165-182140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DELAWARE FAIRFIELD FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GREENE HARDIN
HIGHLAND HOCKING JACKSON
KNOX LICKING LOGAN
MADISON MARION MORROW
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO UNION VINTON
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.