Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Idaho
Western and central Montana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to intensify through mid-afternoon
initially across southwest Montana and nearby northern Idaho. Over
time, storms are expected to spread across additional portions of
west-central Montana by evening. Some supercells and well-organized
bowing segments can be expected with large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Havre
MT to 45 miles south southwest of Dillon MT. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
21025.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM MDT Tue May 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Idaho
Western and central Montana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to intensify through mid-afternoon
initially across southwest Montana and nearby northern Idaho. Over
time, storms are expected to spread across additional portions of
west-central Montana by evening. Some supercells and well-organized
bowing segments can be expected with large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Havre
MT to 45 miles south southwest of Dillon MT. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
21025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 194 SEVERE TSTM ID MT 192035Z - 200400Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N HVR/HAVRE MT/ - 45SSW DLN/DILLON MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /31N HVR - 39SSW DLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21025.
LAT...LON 49030745 44631076 44631504 49031209
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 194 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 194
VALID 200330Z - 200400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE LWT
TO 20 SW LWT TO 40 NNE LWT TO 60 NE LWT.
WW 194 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 200400Z.
..DIAL..05/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC027-200400-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FERGUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 194
VALID 200225Z - 200340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S LVM TO
35 N LVM TO 30 ENE GTF TO 45 NE GTF TO 40 NNW HVR.
..DIAL..05/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC005-015-027-037-041-045-107-200340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CHOUTEAU FERGUS
GOLDEN VALLEY HILL JUDITH BASIN
WHEATLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 194
VALID 200105Z - 200240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC059-200240-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEMHI
$$
MTC001-005-007-013-015-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-045-049-051-
057-059-063-067-073-077-081-093-097-099-101-107-200240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BLAINE BROADWATER
CASCADE CHOUTEAU DEER LODGE
FERGUS GALLATIN GOLDEN VALLEY
GRANITE HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY
MADISON MEAGHER MISSOULA
PARK PONDERA POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW SWEET GRASS
TETON TOOLE WHEATLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 194
VALID 192340Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 641
..DIAL..05/19/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC059-200040-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEMHI
$$
MTC001-005-007-013-015-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-045-049-051-
057-059-063-067-073-077-081-093-097-099-101-107-200040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BLAINE BROADWATER
CASCADE CHOUTEAU DEER LODGE
FERGUS GALLATIN GOLDEN VALLEY
GRANITE HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY
MADISON MEAGHER MISSOULA
PARK PONDERA POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW SWEET GRASS
TETON TOOLE WHEATLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 194
VALID 192240Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/19/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC059-192340-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEMHI
$$
MTC001-005-007-013-015-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-045-049-051-
057-059-063-067-073-077-081-093-097-099-101-107-192340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BLAINE BROADWATER
CASCADE CHOUTEAU DEER LODGE
FERGUS GALLATIN GOLDEN VALLEY
GRANITE HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY
MADISON MEAGHER MISSOULA
PARK PONDERA POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW SWEET GRASS
TETON TOOLE WHEATLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 194
VALID 192155Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/19/20
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...BYZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC059-192240-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEMHI
$$
MTC001-005-007-013-015-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-045-049-051-
057-059-063-067-073-077-081-093-097-099-101-107-192240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BLAINE BROADWATER
CASCADE CHOUTEAU DEER LODGE
FERGUS GALLATIN GOLDEN VALLEY
GRANITE HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY
MADISON MEAGHER MISSOULA
PARK PONDERA POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW SWEET GRASS
TETON TOOLE WHEATLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.