Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Wed May 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West/Northwest Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 345 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop in several
sub-regional corridors across west/northwest Texas, initially
including areas such as the western/southern Texas Panhandle and
Texas South Plains and southward toward the Permian Basin. Large
hail is expected. Some tornado threat could also exist. By evening,
storms will merge and severe-caliber winds will be an increased
threat as storms spread east/southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Borger TX to 70 miles southwest of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26015.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Wed May 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West/Northwest Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 345 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop in several
sub-regional corridors across west/northwest Texas, initially
including areas such as the western/southern Texas Panhandle and
Texas South Plains and southward toward the Permian Basin. Large
hail is expected. Some tornado threat could also exist. By evening,
storms will merge and severe-caliber winds will be an increased
threat as storms spread east/southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Borger TX to 70 miles southwest of San Angelo TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26015.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 196 SEVERE TSTM TX 202045Z - 210500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW BGD/BORGER TX/ - 70SW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /40NNW AMA - 63SW SJT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26015.
LAT...LON 35890073 30650016 30650251 35890323
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 196 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 196
VALID 210430Z - 210500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW JCT
TO 45 N JCT TO 35 S ABI TO 35 W ABI TO 45 NE BGD.
WW 196 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 210500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 652
..MOORE..05/21/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-083-207-253-267-307-417-441-447-210500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COLEMAN HASKELL
JONES KIMBLE MCCULLOCH
SHACKELFORD TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 196
VALID 210340Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW JCT
TO 25 ESE SJT TO 40 SW ABI TO 25 W ABI TO 55 NNW ABI TO 50 S CDS
TO 45 WNW CDS TO 25 N BGD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 652
..MOORE..05/21/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-083-095-101-191-207-253-267-269-307-327-399-417-441-447-
210440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COLEMAN CONCHO
COTTLE HALL HASKELL
JONES KIMBLE KING
MCCULLOCH MENARD RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 196
VALID 210230Z - 210340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE 6R6
TO 55 NNW DRT TO 30 SSW BGS TO 20 WNW BGS TO 45 S LBB TO 45 E CVS
TO 5 SSE DHT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 652
..MOORE..05/21/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-033-045-069-081-095-101-107-125-151-153-169-173-189-191-
207-227-235-253-263-267-269-327-335-345-353-381-383-399-413-415-
431-433-435-437-441-451-210340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO COKE CONCHO
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
FISHER FLOYD GARZA
GLASSCOCK HALE HALL
HASKELL HOWARD IRION
JONES KENT KIMBLE
KING MENARD MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN RANDALL
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SUTTON SWISHER TAYLOR
TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 196
VALID 210125Z - 210240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW 6R6
TO 60 ENE FST TO 15 ENE MAF TO 35 N MAF TO 25 W LBB TO 50 WNW LBB
TO 50 W AMA TO 15 SSE BGD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 649
..MOORE..05/21/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-033-045-069-081-095-101-105-107-115-125-151-153-169-173-
189-191-207-227-235-253-263-267-269-279-303-305-317-327-335-345-
353-381-383-399-413-415-431-433-435-437-441-443-451-210240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO COKE CONCHO
COTTLE CROCKETT CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
KENT KIMBLE KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MENARD MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN RANDALL
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SUTTON SWISHER TAYLOR
TERRELL TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 196
VALID 210045Z - 210140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW FST TO
50 SSE MAF TO 15 ESE MAF TO 55 E HOB TO 45 W LBB TO 5 E DHT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 649
..MOORE..05/21/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-033-045-069-081-095-101-105-107-115-125-151-153-169-173-
189-191-207-219-227-235-253-263-269-279-303-305-317-335-345-353-
371-375-381-383-399-413-415-431-433-437-441-443-445-451-
210140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO COKE CONCHO
COTTLE CROCKETT CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HASKELL
HOCKLEY HOWARD IRION
JONES KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MITCHELL MOTLEY
NOLAN PECOS POTTER
RANDALL REAGAN RUNNELS
SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING
STONEWALL SWISHER TAYLOR
TERRELL TERRY TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 196
VALID 202345Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E MRF TO
30 ENE FST TO 50 ENE FST TO 25 WNW BGS TO 35 ENE HOB TO 50 SSE
CVS TO 5 SSE CAO.
..MOORE..05/20/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-033-045-069-081-095-101-105-107-111-115-117-125-151-
153-169-173-189-191-205-207-219-227-235-253-263-269-279-303-305-
317-335-341-345-353-359-369-371-375-381-383-399-413-415-431-433-
437-441-443-445-451-461-210040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO COKE
CONCHO COTTLE CROCKETT
CROSBY DALLAM DAWSON
DEAF SMITH DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HARTLEY
HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION JONES KENT
KING LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MITCHELL
MOORE MOTLEY NOLAN
OLDHAM PARMER PECOS
POTTER RANDALL REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY
STERLING STONEWALL SWISHER
TAYLOR TERRELL TERRY
TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 196
VALID 202235Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE MRF
TO 40 NE FST TO 20 NW MAF TO 50 SSE CVS TO 5 WSW CAO.
..MOORE..05/20/20
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...MAF...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-033-045-069-081-095-101-105-107-111-115-117-125-151-
153-169-173-189-191-205-207-219-227-235-253-263-269-279-303-305-
317-329-335-341-345-353-359-369-371-375-381-383-399-413-415-431-
433-437-441-443-445-451-461-202340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO COKE
CONCHO COTTLE CROCKETT
CROSBY DALLAM DAWSON
DEAF SMITH DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HARTLEY
HASKELL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION JONES KENT
KING LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MOORE MOTLEY
NOLAN OLDHAM PARMER
PECOS POTTER RANDALL
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TAYLOR TERRELL
TERRY TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.