Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Fri May 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southeast North Carolina
Eastern South Carolina
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of thunderstorms near Charlotte NC will
track eastward across the watch area this afternoon and early
evening. Damaging winds will be possible along the leading edge of
the storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest
of Southern Pines NC to 20 miles east northeast of Jacksonville NC.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 202...WW 203...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27040.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 204 SEVERE TSTM NC SC 222015Z - 230200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WSW SOP/SOUTHERN PINES NC/ - 20ENE OAJ/JACKSONVILLE NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /37ESE CLT - 45NE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
LAT...LON 35788028 35817729 34077729 34048028
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 204 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 204
VALID 222335Z - 230040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW FLO
TO 30 NE FLO TO 20 S FAY TO 15 ENE FAY TO 20 SE RDU TO 25 E RDU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 673
..LYONS..05/22/20
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-047-061-079-101-103-107-129-133-141-163-191-195-230040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS DUPLIN
GREENE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PENDER SAMPSON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
SCC041-051-067-230040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLORENCE HORRY MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 204
VALID 222245Z - 222340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW FLO TO
25 W SOP TO 25 W RDU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 673
..LYONS..05/22/20
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...MHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-051-061-079-085-093-101-103-105-107-129-133-141-
155-163-183-191-195-222340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND DUPLIN GREENE
HARNETT HOKE JOHNSTON
JONES LEE LENOIR
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PENDER
ROBESON SAMPSON WAKE
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC031-033-041-051-067-069-222340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
HORRY MARION MARLBORO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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