Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of west central and central Arkansas
East central and southeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 735 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is underway along a
residual outflow boundary near and just south of Interstate 40, and
storms will likely persist along this corridor into the early
morning hours. The storm environment favors supercells capable of
producing isolated very large hail and damaging winds. There will
also be some threat for a tornado or two with the most intense
supercells the next few hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west southwest
of Mcalester OK to 15 miles north northeast of Little Rock AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 204...WW 205...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Fri May 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of west central and central Arkansas
East central and southeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 735 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is underway along a
residual outflow boundary near and just south of Interstate 40, and
storms will likely persist along this corridor into the early
morning hours. The storm environment favors supercells capable of
producing isolated very large hail and damaging winds. There will
also be some threat for a tornado or two with the most intense
supercells the next few hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 10 miles west southwest
of Mcalester OK to 15 miles north northeast of Little Rock AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 204...WW 205...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 206 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 230035Z - 230700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10WSW MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 15NNE LIT/LITTLE ROCK AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /8W MLC - 15N LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 35489594 35579213 34279213 34169594
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 206 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 206
VALID 230620Z - 230700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW DEQ
TO 25 NW RKR TO 25 NNE LIT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 679
..SMITH..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC045-051-053-059-097-105-113-119-125-127-131-149-230700-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING MONTGOMERY PERRY
POLK PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN YELL
$$
OKC023-079-089-230700-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 206
VALID 230530Z - 230620Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE PRX
TO 35 NE MLC TO 40 SW BVX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 679
..SMITH..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC029-045-051-053-059-083-097-105-113-119-125-127-131-149-
230620-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONWAY FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HOT SPRING LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY POLK
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN YELL
$$
OKC023-061-077-079-089-230620-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 206
VALID 230335Z - 230440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC029-033-045-047-051-053-059-071-083-097-105-113-115-119-125-
127-131-149-230440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONWAY CRAWFORD FAULKNER
FRANKLIN GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY POLK
POPE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN YELL
$$
OKC023-061-077-079-089-121-127-135-230440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 206
VALID 230235Z - 230340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC029-033-045-047-051-053-059-071-083-097-105-113-115-119-125-
127-131-149-230340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONWAY CRAWFORD FAULKNER
FRANKLIN GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY POLK
POPE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN YELL
$$
OKC023-061-077-079-089-121-127-135-230340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 206
VALID 230045Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC029-033-045-047-051-053-059-071-083-097-105-113-115-119-125-
127-131-149-230140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONWAY CRAWFORD FAULKNER
FRANKLIN GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY POLK
POPE PULASKI SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN YELL
$$
OKC023-061-077-079-089-121-127-135-230140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.