Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 209
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sat May 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail expected with isolated very large hail
events to 3 inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will form this afternoon across
southwest Texas along a strong dryline. These storms are likely to
produce large to very large hail and locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles south southwest
of Dryden TX to 60 miles north northeast of Big Spring TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 207...WW 208...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 209 SEVERE TSTM TX 231930Z - 240300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75SSW 6R6/DRYDEN TX/ - 60NNE BGS/BIG SPRING TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /101SE MRF - 58SE LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 29030368 33020214 33020007 29030169
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 209 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 209
VALID 240240Z - 240340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W DRT TO
35 WNW JCT TO 50 N SJT TO 70 NW ABI.
..BROYLES..05/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-151-353-240340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE FISHER NOLAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 209
VALID 240035Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S MRF TO
15 NNE FST TO 15 N MAF TO 55 ENE HOB.
..KARSTENS..05/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-371-
383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
FISHER GLASSCOCK HOWARD
IRION MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 209
VALID 232345Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MRF TO
10 S FST TO 15 SSW MAF TO 40 N MAF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 690
..KARSTENS..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-371-
383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
FISHER GLASSCOCK HOWARD
IRION MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN SCHLEICHER SCURRY
STERLING SUTTON TERRELL
TOM GREEN UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 209
VALID 232330Z - 240040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-
371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK
HOWARD IRION MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN
PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 209
VALID 232240Z - 232340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KARSTENS..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-
371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK
HOWARD IRION MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN
PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 209
VALID 232140Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KARSTENS..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-
371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-232240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK
HOWARD IRION MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN
PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 209
VALID 232040Z - 232140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 684
..KARSTENS..05/23/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-043-081-103-105-115-135-151-173-227-235-317-329-335-353-
371-383-413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-232140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BREWSTER COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR FISHER GLASSCOCK
HOWARD IRION MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL NOLAN
PECOS REAGAN SCHLEICHER
SCURRY STERLING SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.