Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 231
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to form soon over the watch
area and spread southeastward. Very large hail is the primary
threat with this activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast
of Abilene TX to 30 miles east southeast of Junction TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 230...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 231 SEVERE TSTM TX 271845Z - 280200Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 30ESE JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /30E ABI - 30ESE JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 32569851 30359855 30350006 32560006
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 231 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 231
VALID 280020Z - 280140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE SJT
TO 30 N JCT TO 45 NE JCT TO 55 WSW TPL.
..JEWELL..05/28/20
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC267-319-327-280140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KIMBLE MASON MENARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 231
VALID 272240Z - 272340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE SJT
TO 40 WSW BWD TO 20 SW BWD TO 20 N BWD TO 45 W MWL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 747
..JEWELL..05/27/20
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-095-267-307-319-327-411-272340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CONCHO KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 231
VALID 272140Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/27/20
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-095-267-307-319-327-399-411-441-272240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
CONCHO KIMBLE MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD RUNNELS
SAN SABA TAYLOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 231
VALID 272045Z - 272140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/27/20
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-095-267-307-319-327-399-411-441-272140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
CONCHO KIMBLE MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD RUNNELS
SAN SABA TAYLOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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