Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms will sag southward across the
watch area through the afternoon and evening. The strongest cells
will pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Del
Rio TX to 5 miles east southeast of New Braunfels TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 233 SEVERE TSTM TX 281925Z - 290300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30W DRT/DEL RIO TX/ - 5ESE BAZ/NEW BRAUNFELS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /34W DLF - 27E SAT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 30240142 30569795 28829795 28500142
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 233 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 233
VALID 282220Z - 282340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N DRT TO
60 N DRT TO 45 NNE DRT TO 55 SSW JCT TO 35 NW HDO TO 35 NNE HDO
TO 45 N SAT TO 40 NW AUS.
..JEWELL..05/28/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-029-031-091-127-137-163-187-209-259-271-323-325-385-
463-465-493-507-282340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BEXAR
BLANCO COMAL DIMMIT
EDWARDS FRIO GUADALUPE
HAYS KENDALL KINNEY
MAVERICK MEDINA REAL
UVALDE VAL VERDE WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.