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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Maryland
Northwest New Jersey
Central and eastern New York
Eastern Pennsylvania
Far northern Virginia
Eastern West Virginia Panhandle
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of strong to locally severe storms are expected
to persist through mid-evening. Damaging winds appear to be the
primary threat.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 85 miles northeast of
Binghamton NY to 35 miles east southeast of Hagerstown MD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 234 SEVERE TSTM MD NJ NY PA VA WV 291825Z - 300100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
85NE BGM/BINGHAMTON NY/ - 35ESE HGR/HAGERSTOWN MD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /47WNW ALB - 6W EMI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 43067360 39507599 39507824 43067598
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 234 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 234
VALID 292145Z - 292240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW BWI
TO 35 E CXY TO 45 W ABE TO 40 SE IPT TO 30 N IPT.
..JEWELL..05/29/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...ALY...BGM...OKX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC015-025-292240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CECIL HARFORD
$$
NJC019-037-041-292240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUNTERDON SUSSEX WARREN
$$
NYC001-007-017-021-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-071-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-111-113-115-292240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CHENANGO
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MADISON MONTGOMERY
ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
PAC011-015-017-025-029-037-069-071-077-079-089-091-095-103-107-
113-115-127-131-292240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS BRADFORD BUCKS
CARBON CHESTER COLUMBIA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEHIGH
LUZERNE MONROE MONTGOMERY
NORTHAMPTON PIKE SCHUYLKILL
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA WAYNE
WYOMING
$$
ANZ530-292240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ530
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 234
VALID 292030Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 760
..MOORE..05/29/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...ALY...BGM...OKX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC003-005-013-015-025-027-031-510-292140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL
CECIL HARFORD HOWARD
MONTGOMERY
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC019-037-041-292140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUNTERDON SUSSEX WARREN
$$
NYC001-007-017-021-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-071-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-111-113-115-292140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CHENANGO
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MADISON MONTGOMERY
ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
PAC011-015-017-025-029-037-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-095-103-
107-113-115-127-131-133-292140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS BRADFORD BUCKS
CARBON CHESTER COLUMBIA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE MONROE
MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA
WAYNE WYOMING YORK
$$
VAC107-292140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOUDOUN
$$
ANZ530-531-532-538-292140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ530
ANZ531
ANZ532
ANZ538
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 234
VALID 292025Z - 292140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE HGR
TO 15 NE CXY TO 40 SE IPT TO 20 N IPT.
..KERR..05/29/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...ALY...BGM...OKX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC003-005-013-015-025-027-031-510-292140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL
CECIL HARFORD HOWARD
MONTGOMERY
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC019-037-041-292140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUNTERDON SUSSEX WARREN
$$
NYC001-007-017-021-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-071-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-111-113-115-292140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CHENANGO
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MADISON MONTGOMERY
ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
PAC011-015-017-025-029-037-069-071-075-077-079-089-091-095-103-
107-113-115-127-131-133-292140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS BRADFORD BUCKS
CARBON CHESTER COLUMBIA
LACKAWANNA LANCASTER LEBANON
LEHIGH LUZERNE MONROE
MONTGOMERY NORTHAMPTON PIKE
SCHUYLKILL SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA
WAYNE WYOMING YORK
$$
VAC107-292140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOUDOUN
$$
ANZ530-531-532-538-292140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ530
ANZ531
ANZ532
ANZ538
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 234
VALID 291935Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 760
..MOORE..05/29/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...ALY...BGM...OKX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC003-005-013-015-021-025-027-031-043-510-292040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL
CECIL FREDERICK HARFORD
HOWARD MONTGOMERY WASHINGTON
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC019-037-041-292040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUNTERDON SUSSEX WARREN
$$
NYC001-007-017-021-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-071-077-
083-091-093-095-105-107-111-113-115-292040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CHENANGO
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MADISON MONTGOMERY
ONEIDA ORANGE OTSEGO
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE SULLIVAN TIOGA
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
PAC001-011-015-017-025-029-037-041-043-055-069-071-075-077-079-
081-089-091-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-119-127-131-133-
292040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BRADFORD
BUCKS CARBON CHESTER
COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
FRANKLIN LACKAWANNA LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH LUZERNE
LYCOMING MONROE MONTGOMERY
MONTOUR NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PERRY PIKE SCHUYLKILL
SNYDER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA
UNION WAYNE WYOMING
YORK
$$
VAC043-107-292040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE LOUDOUN
$$
WVC003-037-292040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY JEFFERSON
$$
ANZ530-531-532-538-292040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ530
ANZ531
ANZ532
ANZ538
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.