Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North central Nebraska
Central South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected in the next 1-2 hours
from northern Nebraska into central South Dakota along a surface
trough. The storm environment will initially favor supercells
capable of producing very large hail. Upscale growth into clusters
is likely this evening given storm interactions and strong downdraft
potential, with significant damaging winds possible. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out with the initial storms, but this threat
should be substantially lower than the hail/wind threat.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest
of Aberdeen SD to 75 miles southwest of Valentine NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 266...WW 267...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
23035.
...Thompson
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 268
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North central Nebraska
Central South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected in the next 1-2 hours
from northern Nebraska into central South Dakota along a surface
trough. The storm environment will initially favor supercells
capable of producing very large hail. Upscale growth into clusters
is likely this evening given storm interactions and strong downdraft
potential, with significant damaging winds possible. An isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out with the initial storms, but this threat
should be substantially lower than the hail/wind threat.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest
of Aberdeen SD to 75 miles southwest of Valentine NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 266...WW 267...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
23035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 268 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 072030Z - 080300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNW ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 75SW VTN/VALENTINE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33NNW ABR - 69NW LBF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 45919745 42070041 42070275 45919995
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 268 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 268
VALID 080140Z - 080240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/08/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-075-091-103-161-171-080240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY GRANT
HOOKER KEYA PAHA SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-021-023-045-049-053-059-065-069-071-073-
075-085-089-091-095-107-115-117-119-121-123-129-080240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CHARLES MIX EDMUNDS FAULK
GREGORY HAND HUGHES
HYDE JACKSON JERAULD
JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON
MARSHALL MELLETTE POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 268
VALID 080030Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/08/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-075-091-103-161-171-080140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY GRANT
HOOKER KEYA PAHA SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-021-023-045-049-053-059-065-069-071-073-
075-085-089-091-095-107-115-117-119-121-123-129-080140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CHARLES MIX EDMUNDS FAULK
GREGORY HAND HUGHES
HYDE JACKSON JERAULD
JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON
MARSHALL MELLETTE POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 268
VALID 072245Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/07/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC017-031-075-091-103-161-171-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CHERRY GRANT
HOOKER KEYA PAHA SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-021-023-045-049-053-059-065-069-071-073-
075-085-089-091-095-107-115-117-119-121-123-129-072340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CHARLES MIX EDMUNDS FAULK
GREGORY HAND HUGHES
HYDE JACKSON JERAULD
JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON
MARSHALL MELLETTE POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.