Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 282
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop this evening along and ahead of
a cold front across eastern North Dakota, and spread northeastward
through early tonight. A few supercells will be possible initially,
with the threat for large hail/damaging winds, and perhaps an
isolated tornado across northeast North Dakota and extreme northwest
Minnesota. Storms are expected to grow upscale into clusters and
line segments later this evening, with a continuing threat for
damaging winds and occasional large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of
Hallock MN to 70 miles south of Jamestown ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Thompson
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 282
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will develop this evening along and ahead of
a cold front across eastern North Dakota, and spread northeastward
through early tonight. A few supercells will be possible initially,
with the threat for large hail/damaging winds, and perhaps an
isolated tornado across northeast North Dakota and extreme northwest
Minnesota. Storms are expected to grow upscale into clusters and
line segments later this evening, with a continuing threat for
damaging winds and occasional large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of
Hallock MN to 70 miles south of Jamestown ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 282 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 172220Z - 180500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW HCO/HALLOCK MN/ - 70S JMS/JAMESTOWN ND/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /54S YWG - 33NNW ABR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 49009601 45919743 45919993 49009865
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 282 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 282
VALID 180340Z - 180440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW ABR
TO 10 SE GFK TO 20 NNE HCO.
..GOSS..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-069-089-107-113-119-125-135-180440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KITTSON MARSHALL
NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE ROSEAU
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-097-180440-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 282
VALID 180255Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N ABR TO
40 ESE JMS TO 45 NW FAR TO 20 N GFK TO 25 N HCO.
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-069-089-107-113-119-125-135-180340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KITTSON MARSHALL
NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE ROSEAU
$$
NDC017-035-073-077-081-097-180340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS GRAND FORKS RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 282
VALID 180150Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW ABR TO
10 ENE JMS TO 20 W GFK TO 25 NNW HCO.
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-069-089-107-113-119-125-135-180240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KITTSON MARSHALL
NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE ROSEAU
$$
NDC003-017-021-035-045-073-077-081-091-097-180240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
GRAND FORKS LAMOURE RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE
TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 282
VALID 180055Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW ABR TO
5 E JMS TO 60 NW HCO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 929
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-069-089-107-113-119-125-135-180140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KITTSON MARSHALL
NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE ROSEAU
$$
NDC003-017-021-035-039-045-063-067-073-077-081-091-097-099-
180140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
GRAND FORKS GRIGGS LAMOURE
NELSON PEMBINA RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT STEELE
TRAILL WALSH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 282
VALID 172330Z - 180040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/17/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 282
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-069-089-107-113-119-125-135-180040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KITTSON MARSHALL
NORMAN PENNINGTON POLK
RED LAKE ROSEAU
$$
NDC003-005-017-019-021-027-031-035-039-045-047-051-063-067-071-
073-077-081-091-093-097-099-180040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES BENSON CASS
CAVALIER DICKEY EDDY
FOSTER GRAND FORKS GRIGGS
LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH
NELSON PEMBINA RAMSEY
RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT
STEELE STUTSMAN TRAILL
WALSH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.