Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 283
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North central Nebraska
Parts of central and northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 630 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in
coverage/intensity this evening from South Dakota into north central
Nebraska along and east of a surface cold front and pre-frontal
trough. The storm environment will favor a mix of multicell
clusters and perhaps a couple of high-based supercells capable of
producing damaging winds and large hail through early tonight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of
Aberdeen SD to 50 miles south southwest of Mullen NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 282...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
23025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 283 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 172330Z - 180600Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 50SSW MHN/MULLEN NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /32N ABR - 36WNW LBF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
LAT...LON 45959748 41380057 41380231 45959936
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 283 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 283
VALID 180450Z - 180540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE PIR
TO 50 NE PIR TO 40 N ABR AND 25 SW PIR TO 55 NE PIR TO 40 N ABR.
..GOSS..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-017-031-075-091-103-113-117-171-180540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BROWN CHERRY
GRANT HOOKER KEYA PAHA
LOGAN MCPHERSON THOMAS
$$
SDC005-013-015-017-025-037-049-059-065-069-073-075-085-091-095-
115-121-123-180540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROWN BRULE
BUFFALO CLARK DAY
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
SPINK TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 283
VALID 180340Z - 180440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE PIR
TO 50 NE PIR TO 40 N ABR.
..GOSS..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-017-031-075-091-103-113-117-171-180440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BROWN CHERRY
GRANT HOOKER KEYA PAHA
LOGAN MCPHERSON THOMAS
$$
SDC005-013-015-017-025-037-049-059-065-069-073-075-085-091-095-
115-117-119-121-123-180440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROWN BRULE
BUFFALO CLARK DAY
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 283
VALID 180250Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW PIR
TO 50 NE PIR TO 35 N ABR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 930
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-017-031-075-091-103-113-117-171-180340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BROWN CHERRY
GRANT HOOKER KEYA PAHA
LOGAN MCPHERSON THOMAS
$$
SDC005-013-015-017-025-037-049-059-065-069-073-075-085-091-095-
115-117-119-121-123-180340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROWN BRULE
BUFFALO CLARK DAY
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 283
VALID 180150Z - 180240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-017-031-075-091-103-113-117-171-180240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BROWN CHERRY
GRANT HOOKER KEYA PAHA
LOGAN MCPHERSON THOMAS
$$
SDC005-013-015-017-025-037-045-049-059-065-069-073-075-085-089-
091-095-107-115-117-119-121-123-180240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROWN BRULE
BUFFALO CLARK DAY
EDMUNDS FAULK HAND
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON
MARSHALL MELLETTE POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 283
VALID 180100Z - 180240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..06/18/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 283
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-017-031-075-091-103-113-117-171-180240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BROWN CHERRY
GRANT HOOKER KEYA PAHA
LOGAN MCPHERSON THOMAS
$$
SDC005-013-015-017-025-037-045-049-059-065-069-073-075-085-089-
091-095-107-115-117-119-121-123-180240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BROWN BRULE
BUFFALO CLARK DAY
EDMUNDS FAULK HAND
HUGHES HYDE JERAULD
JONES LYMAN MCPHERSON
MARSHALL MELLETTE POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.