Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Sat Jun 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern South Dakota
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop and intensify initially
across central/north-central South Dakota through late afternoon.
This will include the possibility of a few supercells along with
sustained multicells capable of large hail. One or more
east/southeastward-moving clusters could ultimately evolve by early
evening with wind damage also being a concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of
Aberdeen SD to 35 miles west of Chamberlain SD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
31025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 286 SEVERE TSTM SD 202015Z - 210300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 35W 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /35NE ABR - 38S PIR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
LAT...LON 45859638 43769862 43760142 45859929
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 286 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 286
VALID 210130Z - 210240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW ATY TO
30 SSE ABR TO 35 ENE ABR TO 20 N VVV.
..SQUITIERI..06/21/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC023-025-037-043-053-210240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLES MIX CLARK DAY
DOUGLAS GREGORY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 286
VALID 210040Z - 210140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PIR TO
65 NE ABR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 948
..SQUITIERI..06/21/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC003-005-015-017-023-025-035-037-043-053-059-073-085-091-109-
111-115-210140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BRULE
BUFFALO CHARLES MIX CLARK
DAVISON DAY DOUGLAS
GREGORY HAND JERAULD
LYMAN MARSHALL ROBERTS
SANBORN SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 286
VALID 202335Z - 210030Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE PHP
TO 35 NE ABR.
..SMITH..06/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC003-005-013-015-017-025-035-037-059-073-075-085-091-109-111-
115-210030-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
DAVISON DAY HAND
JERAULD JONES LYMAN
MARSHALL ROBERTS SANBORN
SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 286
VALID 202300Z - 210040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..06/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC003-005-013-015-017-025-035-037-045-049-059-065-069-073-075-
085-089-091-107-109-111-115-117-119-210040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BEADLE BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
DAVISON DAY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MCPHERSON MARSHALL
POTTER ROBERTS SANBORN
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.