Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 291
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Iowa
Southwest Minnesota
Central and Eastern Nebraska
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initially, isolated severe thunderstorms will continue to
develop across far southeast South Dakota into northwest
Iowa/southwest Minnesota, while additional severe thunderstorms are
expected by late afternoon along a boundary extending across
northern/central Nebraska. A combination of supercells/multicells
are expected, with bouts of large hail/damaging winds as storms
spread generally east-southeastward through early/mid-evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Broken Bow NE to 10 miles east southeast of Storm Lake IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Guyer
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 291
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Iowa
Southwest Minnesota
Central and Eastern Nebraska
Southeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initially, isolated severe thunderstorms will continue to
develop across far southeast South Dakota into northwest
Iowa/southwest Minnesota, while additional severe thunderstorms are
expected by late afternoon along a boundary extending across
northern/central Nebraska. A combination of supercells/multicells
are expected, with bouts of large hail/damaging winds as storms
spread generally east-southeastward through early/mid-evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Broken Bow NE to 10 miles east southeast of Storm Lake IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 291 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 212020Z - 220300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SW BBW/BROKEN BOW NE/ - 10ESE SLB/STORM LAKE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /24ESE LBF - 34W FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 42200024 43779505 41319505 39740024
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 291 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 291
VALID 220220Z - 220300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW 291 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220300Z.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 291
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC011-027-037-039-119-139-141-167-173-179-220300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CEDAR COLFAX
CUMING MADISON PIERCE
PLATTE STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 291
VALID 220145Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE MCK TO
35 NW GRI TO 30 S FSD TO 20 NNE SPW TO 15 WNW SLB TO 40 WNW BIE.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 291
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC035-149-193-220240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE PLYMOUTH WOODBURY
$$
NEC001-011-023-027-035-037-039-043-051-053-061-065-079-081-083-
093-099-119-121-125-137-139-141-143-167-173-179-181-185-
220240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOONE BUTLER
CEDAR CLAY COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE FRANKLIN FURNAS
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HOWARD KEARNEY MADISON
MERRICK NANCE PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
STANTON THURSTON WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
SDC027-127-220240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 291
VALID 220045Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE MCK TO
35 NW GRI TO 10 S YKN TO 15 ESE FSD.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 291
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-085-093-119-133-141-149-165-167-193-220140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
HARRISON IDA LYON
MONONA O'BRIEN PLYMOUTH
SHELBY SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
NEC001-011-019-021-023-027-035-037-039-043-051-053-055-059-061-
065-073-079-081-083-093-099-119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-155-
167-169-173-177-179-181-185-220140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO
BURT BUTLER CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
DAKOTA DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GOSPER HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD
KEARNEY MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
SAUNDERS STANTON THAYER
THURSTON WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
SDC027-127-220140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 291
VALID 220010Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE LBF TO
35 SW YKN TO 25 SW FSD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 961
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 291
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-165-167-
193-220140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON HARRISON IDA
LYON MILLS MONONA
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
WOODBURY
$$
MNC033-063-101-105-133-220140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY
NOBLES ROCK
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-043-047-051-053-
055-059-061-065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-099-109-119-121-
125-129-137-139-141-143-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-
179-181-183-185-220140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DAWSON DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
KEARNEY LANCASTER MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THURSTON
VALLEY WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC027-127-220140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 291
VALID 212150Z - 212240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..06/21/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 291
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-165-167-
193-212240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON HARRISON IDA
LYON MILLS MONONA
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY SIOUX
WOODBURY
$$
MNC033-063-101-105-133-212240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY
NOBLES ROCK
$$
NEC001-003-009-011-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043-047-
051-053-055-059-061-065-067-071-073-077-079-081-083-089-093-095-
099-107-109-115-119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-151-153-155-159-
163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185-212240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE
BOONE BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
CLAY COLFAX CUMING
CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON KEARNEY KNOX
LANCASTER LOUP MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THURSTON
VALLEY WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER WHEELER YORK
$$
SDC027-127-212240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.