Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 292
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Iowa
Western Upper Michigan
Southern Minnesota
Western and Northern Wisconsin
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several corridors of severe thunderstorms will continue to
develop and spread eastward across the region through
early/mid-evening. Severe wind/hail are possible across the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west northwest
of Fort Dodge IA to 60 miles northeast of Rhinelander WI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...WW 291...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 292 SEVERE TSTM IA MI MN WI 212055Z - 220400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WNW FOD/FORT DODGE IA/ - 60NE RHI/RHINELANDER WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /43WNW FOD - 50W SAW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 43799520 47188858 45308858 41919520
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 292 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 292
VALID 220225Z - 220400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW LSE TO
25 NNW LSE TO 35 ESE EAU TO 20 S RHI TO 30 SSW IMT.
WW 292 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220400Z.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC019-053-073-141-220400-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK JACKSON MARATHON
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 292
VALID 220135Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE RST
TO 20 E RST TO 40 E EAU TO 20 NW IMT.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC089-220240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD
$$
MNC045-169-220240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE WINONA
$$
WIC019-053-069-073-121-141-220240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK JACKSON LINCOLN
MARATHON TREMPEALEAU WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 292
VALID 220105Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW MCW
TO 10 SSW RST TO 25 WSW RHI TO 30 NNW IMT.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-089-131-220240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO HOWARD MITCHELL
$$
MNC045-099-169-220240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE MOWER WINONA
$$
WIC019-035-053-069-073-119-121-141-220240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EAU CLAIRE JACKSON
LINCOLN MARATHON TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 292
VALID 220030Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FOD TO
30 NW RST TO 10 WSW IWD.
..SQUITIERI..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-047-089-131-147-151-161-195-220140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CRAWFORD HOWARD
MITCHELL PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS
SAC WORTH
$$
MIC053-061-071-131-220140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOGEBIC HOUGHTON IRON
ONTONAGON
$$
MNC045-099-109-157-169-220140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE MOWER OLMSTED
WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC011-019-035-051-053-069-073-085-091-119-121-125-141-220140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CLARK EAU CLAIRE
IRON JACKSON LINCOLN
MARATHON ONEIDA PEPIN
TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU VILAS
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 292
VALID 212325Z - 220040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 960
..SQUITIERI..06/21/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-047-063-081-089-091-109-131-147-151-161-189-195-197-
220040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CRAWFORD EMMET
HANCOCK HOWARD HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
POCAHONTAS SAC WINNEBAGO
WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MIC053-061-071-131-220040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOGEBIC HOUGHTON IRON
ONTONAGON
$$
MNC013-039-043-045-047-049-091-099-109-147-157-161-165-169-
220040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DODGE FARIBAULT
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
MARTIN MOWER OLMSTED
STEELE WABASHA WASECA
WATONWAN WINONA
$$
WIC003-005-011-017-019-035-051-053-069-073-085-091-099-107-113-
119-121-125-141-220040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK EAU CLAIRE
IRON JACKSON LINCOLN
MARATHON ONEIDA PEPIN
PRICE RUSK SAWYER
TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU VILAS
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 292
VALID 212150Z - 212240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..06/21/20
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...MQT...MPX...DLH...GRB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-047-063-081-089-091-109-131-147-151-161-189-195-197-
212240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CRAWFORD EMMET
HANCOCK HOWARD HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
POCAHONTAS SAC WINNEBAGO
WORTH WRIGHT
$$
MIC053-061-071-131-212240-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOGEBIC HOUGHTON IRON
ONTONAGON
$$
MNC013-039-043-045-047-049-079-091-099-109-131-147-157-161-165-
169-212240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DODGE FARIBAULT
FILLMORE FREEBORN GOODHUE
LE SUEUR MARTIN MOWER
OLMSTED RICE STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WATONWAN
WINONA
$$
WIC003-005-011-017-019-033-035-051-053-069-073-085-091-093-099-
107-109-113-119-121-125-141-212240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BUFFALO
CHIPPEWA CLARK DUNN
EAU CLAIRE IRON JACKSON
LINCOLN MARATHON ONEIDA
PEPIN PIERCE PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU VILAS
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.