Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Eastern New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will increase, initially across
southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico, and spread
southeastward across the region. This includes the potential for
supercells capable of large hail, perhaps very large (2+ inch
diameter) in some cases. Over time, storms should merge into
clusters with the damaging wind threat increasing into the
Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles and Texas South Plains by mid/late
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest
of Springfield CO to 20 miles southwest of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 294...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Mon Jun 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Eastern New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will increase, initially across
southeast Colorado and northeast New Mexico, and spread
southeastward across the region. This includes the potential for
supercells capable of large hail, perhaps very large (2+ inch
diameter) in some cases. Over time, storms should merge into
clusters with the damaging wind threat increasing into the
Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles and Texas South Plains by mid/late
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest
of Springfield CO to 20 miles southwest of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 294...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 295 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 222055Z - 230400Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNW SPD/SPRINGFIELD CO/ - 20SW LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /19SW LAA - 16SSW LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
LAT...LON 38000126 33450042 33450371 38000475
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 295 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 295
VALID 230240Z - 230340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW CVS TO
10 ENE CVS TO 40 ESE TCC TO 35 WSW AMA TO 10 E AMA TO 15 SSE BGD
TO 10 SSW LBL.
..SPC..06/23/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 295
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC041-230340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-230340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER
$$
TXC011-065-069-117-179-195-211-233-295-357-369-381-393-230340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON CASTRO
DEAF SMITH GRAY HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
OCHILTREE PARMER RANDALL
ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 295
VALID 230135Z - 230240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW CVS
TO 15 WNW CVS TO 15 ENE TCC TO 45 W AMA TO 20 NNW AMA TO 25 NW
BGD TO 15 SW GUY TO 25 N EHA TO 35 NNW LBL.
..SPC..06/23/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 295
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC129-189-230240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STEVENS
$$
NMC009-037-041-230240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-139-230240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-087-117-129-179-189-195-211-219-233-
279-295-303-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-230240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
COLLINGSWORTH DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALE HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
ROBERTS SHERMAN SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 295
VALID 230040Z - 230140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW CVS
TO 40 ENE TCC TO 5 NE DHT TO 25 SW EHA TO 15 NE SPD TO 20 ESE LAA.
..SPC..06/23/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 295
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-099-230140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA PROWERS
$$
KSC129-187-189-230140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STANTON STEVENS
$$
NMC009-037-041-230140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
OKC007-025-139-230140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-129-179-189-195-205-211-219-
233-279-295-303-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
230140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALE HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON LAMB LIPSCOMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 295
VALID 222350Z - 230040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW TCC TO
45 NNE TCC TO 20 SSE CAO TO 25 NE CAO TO 20 SW SPD TO 25 WNW SPD
TO 5 SW LHX.
..SPC..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 295
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-099-230040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA PROWERS
$$
KSC129-187-189-230040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STANTON STEVENS
$$
NMC009-021-037-041-047-230040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
$$
OKC007-025-139-230040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-129-179-189-195-205-211-219-
233-279-295-303-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
230040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALE HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON LAMB LIPSCOMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 295
VALID 222225Z - 222340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/22/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 295
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-071-089-099-222340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
$$
KSC129-187-189-222340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MORTON STANTON STEVENS
$$
NMC007-009-021-037-041-047-059-222340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY HARDING
QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
OKC007-025-139-222340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-129-179-189-195-205-211-219-
233-279-295-303-341-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-437-483-
222340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HALE HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HOCKLEY
HUTCHINSON LAMB LIPSCOMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.