Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 298
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM MDT Tue Jun 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
central through eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms developing over the mountains of
New Mexico will spread southeast into the High Plains. Some of these
storms will be capable of producing locally strong to damaging wind
gusts and hail this afternoon through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Raton
NM to 65 miles south southeast of Alamogordo NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
34030.
...Dial
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 298 SEVERE TSTM NM 231950Z - 240300Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15N RTN/RATON NM/ - 65SSE ALM/ALAMOGORDO NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /32NNE CIM - 32ENE ELP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34030.
LAT...LON 36930287 31970414 31970721 36930613
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 298 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 298
VALID 240235Z - 240340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 298
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-035-041-059-240340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY OTERO
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 298
VALID 240040Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE TCS
TO 15 NNE ALM TO 15 ESE SRR TO 45 NNW ROW TO 60 W CVS TO 20 W TCC
TO 45 SW CAO TO 10 ENE CAO.
..SPC..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 298
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-021-027-035-037-041-059-240140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
HARDING LINCOLN OTERO
QUAY ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 298
VALID 232345Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E TCS TO
20 NW SRR TO 10 N 4CR TO 60 NE 4CR TO 40 NNW CAO.
..SPC..06/23/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 298
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-019-021-027-035-037-041-047-059-240040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
GUADALUPE HARDING LINCOLN
OTERO QUAY ROOSEVELT
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 298
VALID 232255Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE TCS
TO 25 WNW 4CR TO 50 ESE ABQ TO 40 SSE LVS TO 20 NNE RTN.
..SPC..06/23/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 298
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-035-037-041-047-053-057-059-
232340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES COLFAX CURRY
DE BACA GUADALUPE HARDING
LINCOLN MORA OTERO
QUAY ROOSEVELT SAN MIGUEL
SOCORRO TORRANCE UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.