Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 299
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeastern New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 815 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A belt of strong-severe thunderstorms has become better
organized over southern and southeastern New Mexico, recently
producing measured severe gusts, including 54 and 63 kt at Holloman
AFB and Roswell, respectively. This activity may continue to pose a
severe threat -- mainly wind -- as it moves across the watch area
this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles either side of a line from 50 miles southwest of
Guadalupe Pass TX to 45 miles east northeast of Hobbs NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 298...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
33035.
...Edwards
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 299
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeastern New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 815 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A belt of strong-severe thunderstorms has become better
organized over southern and southeastern New Mexico, recently
producing measured severe gusts, including 54 and 63 kt at Holloman
AFB and Roswell, respectively. This activity may continue to pose a
severe threat -- mainly wind -- as it moves across the watch area
this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles either side of a line from 50 miles southwest of
Guadalupe Pass TX to 45 miles east northeast of Hobbs NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 298...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
33035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 299 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 240115Z - 240700Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
50SW GDP/GUADALUPE PASS TX/ - 45ENE HOB/HOBBS NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /54ESE ELP - 55SSW LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33035.
LAT...LON 32020583 33630294 32220207 30610498
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 299 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 299
VALID 240540Z - 240640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW GDP
TO 50 NNW MRF TO 10 S INK TO 25 ENE INK TO 25 NNE MAF.
..KERR..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 299
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC135-389-475-240640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ECTOR REEVES WARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 299
VALID 240435Z - 240540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW GDP TO
40 SSE GDP TO 35 W INK TO 25 ESE HOB TO 50 NE HOB.
..SPC..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 299
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-240540-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC003-109-115-135-165-229-301-317-389-445-475-495-240540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CULBERSON DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES HUDSPETH
LOVING MARTIN REEVES
TERRY WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 299
VALID 240335Z - 240440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE ELP
TO 20 S CNM TO 15 ENE CNM TO 45 ESE ROW.
..SPC..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 299
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-240440-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-079-109-115-135-165-229-301-317-389-445-475-495-501-
240440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS COCHRAN CULBERSON
DAWSON ECTOR GAINES
HUDSPETH LOVING MARTIN
REEVES TERRY WARD
WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 299
VALID 240240Z - 240340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 299
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-240340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-079-109-115-135-165-229-301-317-389-445-475-495-501-
240340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS COCHRAN CULBERSON
DAWSON ECTOR GAINES
HUDSPETH LOVING MARTIN
REEVES TERRY WARD
WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.