Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 315
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Iowa
Southeast Minnesota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 515 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A favorable environment exists across the region for a few
supercells through the evening. A tornado or two could occur along
with a damaging wind/severe hail risk.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Mankato MN to 45
miles south southeast of Rochester MN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...WW 314...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 315 TORNADO IA MN 282215Z - 290300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE MKT/MANKATO MN/ - 45SSE RST/ROCHESTER MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /16SSW MSP - 46SW ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 44629212 43319096 43319335 44629456
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 315 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 315
VALID 290135Z - 290240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW LSE
TO 30 E RST TO 40 NNE RST TO 25 SE MSP.
..SPC..06/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC037-049-157-169-290240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA GOODHUE WABASHA
WINONA
$$
WIC011-093-290240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO PIERCE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 315
VALID 290005Z - 290140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 315
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC089-131-290140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD MITCHELL
$$
MNC037-039-045-047-049-055-079-099-103-109-131-139-143-147-157-
161-169-290140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAKOTA DODGE FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HOUSTON
LE SUEUR MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RICE SCOTT
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WINONA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
