Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme west central Minnesota
South central and southeast North Dakota
Central and northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered areas of thunderstorm development will persist
along multiple boundaries across the watch area. The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and multicell clusters
capable of producing large hail and damaging winds through this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Mobridge SD to 50 miles south southeast of Fargo ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 331 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD 052140Z - 060400Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SW MBG/MOBRIDGE SD/ - 50SSE FAR/FARGO ND/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /27E DPR - 35SSE FAR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 46300108 47489642 45029642 43840108
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 331 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 331
VALID 060235Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW Y22
TO 35 SSW BIS TO 40 WSW JMS TO 15 S DTL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
..MOORE..07/06/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC167-060340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WILKIN
$$
NDC021-029-045-047-051-073-077-081-085-060340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKEY EMMONS LAMOURE
LOGAN MCINTOSH RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT SIOUX
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-060340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 331
VALID 060145Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW Y22
TO 35 S BIS TO 30 SE BIS TO 15 SW DTL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
..MOORE..07/06/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC167-060240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WILKIN
$$
NDC021-029-045-047-051-073-077-081-085-060240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKEY EMMONS LAMOURE
LOGAN MCINTOSH RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT SIOUX
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-060240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 331
VALID 060055Z - 060140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE BHK
TO 40 NE 2WX TO 30 N Y22 TO 15 WSW BIS TO 35 ENE BIS TO 50 NW JMS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1112
..MOORE..07/06/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-167-060140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY WILKIN
$$
NDC001-003-017-021-029-037-043-045-047-051-073-077-081-085-093-
060140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARNES CASS
DICKEY EMMONS GRANT
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT SIOUX STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-060140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 331
VALID 052355Z - 060040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE BHK TO
25 E DIK TO 55 NE BIS TO 35 N DTL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1112
..MOORE..07/05/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-167-060040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY WILKIN
$$
NDC001-003-011-015-017-021-029-037-041-043-045-047-051-059-073-
077-081-085-093-060040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARNES BOWMAN
BURLEIGH CASS DICKEY
EMMONS GRANT HETTINGER
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH MORTON RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT SIOUX
STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-060040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 331
VALID 052300Z - 060040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE BHK TO
45 WNW BIS TO 20 SSE GFK.
..MOORE..07/05/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-167-060040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY WILKIN
$$
NDC003-015-017-021-029-037-043-045-047-051-059-073-077-081-085-
093-060040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES BURLEIGH CASS
DICKEY EMMONS GRANT
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH MORTON RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT SIOUX
STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-060040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 331
VALID 052150Z - 052330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..07/05/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 331
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC027-167-052330-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY WILKIN
$$
NDC003-015-017-021-029-037-043-045-047-051-059-073-077-081-085-
093-052330-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES BURLEIGH CASS
DICKEY EMMONS GRANT
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH MORTON RANSOM
RICHLAND SARGENT SIOUX
STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-017-021-031-041-045-049-059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-
115-117-119-129-052330-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUFFALO CAMPBELL
CORSON DEWEY EDMUNDS
FAULK HAND HUGHES
HYDE JONES LYMAN
MCPHERSON MARSHALL POTTER
SPINK STANLEY SULLY
WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.