Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 338
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM MDT Tue Jul 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Montana
North Central Wyoming
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify over central Montana this
afternoon and spread rapidly eastward across the watch area. Severe
storms capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a
tornado or two are expected.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of
Lewistown MT to 20 miles south southeast of Sidney MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Hart
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 338
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM MDT Tue Jul 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Montana
North Central Wyoming
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify over central Montana this
afternoon and spread rapidly eastward across the watch area. Severe
storms capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a
tornado or two are expected.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of
Lewistown MT to 20 miles south southeast of Sidney MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 338 SEVERE TSTM MT WY 071915Z - 080300Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55W LWT/LEWISTOWN MT/ - 20SSE SDY/SIDNEY MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM N/S /40SE GTF - 48SSW ISN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 48711064 49100404 45770404 45381064
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 338 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 338
VALID 080150Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE 4BQ TO
25 SW GDV TO 30 E OLF TO 70 NNE OLF.
..DIAL..07/08/20
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 338
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-021-025-079-083-085-091-109-080240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER DAWSON FALLON
PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT
SHERIDAN WIBAUX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 338
VALID 080100Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N SHR TO
55 NW MLS TO 30 WSW OLF TO 25 NNW OLF TO 60 NNE GGW.
..DIAL..07/08/20
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 338
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-017-019-021-025-033-055-075-079-083-085-087-091-109-
080240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CUSTER DANIELS
DAWSON FALLON GARFIELD
MCCONE POWDER RIVER PRAIRIE
RICHLAND ROOSEVELT ROSEBUD
SHERIDAN WIBAUX
$$
WYC033-080240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 338
VALID 072350Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW SHR
TO 50 NE BIL TO 80 SSW GGW TO 45 SSW GGW TO 15 W GGW TO 60 NNW
GGW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1133
..DIAL..07/07/20
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 338
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-011-017-019-021-025-033-055-075-079-083-085-087-091-103-
105-109-080040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN CARTER CUSTER
DANIELS DAWSON FALLON
GARFIELD MCCONE POWDER RIVER
PRAIRIE RICHLAND ROOSEVELT
ROSEBUD SHERIDAN TREASURE
VALLEY WIBAUX
$$
WYC033-080040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 338
VALID 072250Z - 072340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE BIL
TO 50 N BIL TO 60 ENE LWT TO 75 WSW GGW TO 60 E HVR TO 50 ENE HVR.
..DIAL..07/07/20
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 338
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC003-005-011-017-019-021-025-033-055-065-069-071-075-079-083-
085-087-091-103-105-109-111-072340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG HORN BLAINE CARTER
CUSTER DANIELS DAWSON
FALLON GARFIELD MCCONE
MUSSELSHELL PETROLEUM PHILLIPS
POWDER RIVER PRAIRIE RICHLAND
ROOSEVELT ROSEBUD SHERIDAN
TREASURE VALLEY WIBAUX
YELLOWSTONE
$$
WYC033-072340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.