Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 347
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwestern Arkansas
Eastern Kansas
Western Missouri
Northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday morning from 105 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized, bowing thunderstorm complex initially
over southern Nebraska and northern Kansas has a well-developed
pressure/thermal perturbation, rear-inflow jet and cold pool, and a
history of measured severe gusts. This complex will sweep
southeastward into and across much of the watch area through the
rest of the morning, with some southward bend possible in the track
over eastern Kansas. Severe gusts are likely, and isolated hail
also may occur. A QLCS tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles either side of a line from 55 miles west of Grove OK
to 15 miles northwest of Chillicothe MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 346...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31045.
...Edwards
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 347
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwestern Arkansas
Eastern Kansas
Western Missouri
Northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday morning from 105 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized, bowing thunderstorm complex initially
over southern Nebraska and northern Kansas has a well-developed
pressure/thermal perturbation, rear-inflow jet and cold pool, and a
history of measured severe gusts. This complex will sweep
southeastward into and across much of the watch area through the
rest of the morning, with some southward bend possible in the track
over eastern Kansas. Severe gusts are likely, and isolated hail
also may occur. A QLCS tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles either side of a line from 55 miles west of Grove OK
to 15 miles northwest of Chillicothe MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 346...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
31045.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 347 SEVERE TSTM AR KS MO OK 090605Z - 091500Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
55W GMJ/GROVE OK/ - 15NW CDJ/CHILLICOTHE MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM EITHER SIDE /25N TUL - 56W IRK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31045.
LAT...LON 37339730 40709542 39239217 35869419
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 347 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 347
VALID 091150Z - 091240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW MHK
TO 20 SE EMP TO 40 NE CNU TO 55 SSE OJC TO 25 ESE SZL TO 10 NNW
COU.
..BROYLES..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-091240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON
$$
KSC001-011-015-017-019-021-035-037-049-073-079-099-113-115-125-
133-205-207-091240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD HARVEY LABETTE
MCPHERSON MARION MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-077-085-097-109-119-141-145-
167-185-209-217-225-091240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HICKORY JASPER LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MORGAN NEWTON
POLK ST. CLAIR STONE
VERNON WEBSTER
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-131-143-147-091240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
ROGERS TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 347
VALID 090905Z - 091040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 347
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-091040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-079-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-113-115-121-125-127-133-
139-177-197-205-207-209-091040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD HARVEY
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NEOSHO OSAGE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-009-011-013-015-021-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-049-
053-057-059-061-063-075-077-081-083-085-087-095-097-101-107-109-
117-119-141-145-147-159-165-167-177-185-195-209-217-225-227-
091040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BARRY
BARTON BATES BENTON
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CAMDEN
CARROLL CASS CEDAR
CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON
COOPER DADE DALLAS
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GREENE HARRISON HENRY
HICKORY HOLT JACKSON
JASPER JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LIVINGSTON MCDONALD
MORGAN NEWTON NODAWAY
PETTIS PLATTE POLK
RAY ST. CLAIR SALINE
STONE VERNON WEBSTER
WORTH
$$
OKC035-041-097-105-113-115-131-143-147-091040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIG DELAWARE MAYES
NOWATA OSAGE OTTAWA
ROGERS TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.