Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 348
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1105 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Iowa
Northwest Illinois
Southeast Minnesota
Southwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1105 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A remnant MCV (mesoscale convective vortex) will continue
to contribute to severe thunderstorm development initially across
northern Iowa into southeast Minnesota. Over time, additional storms
should develop across broader portions of eastern Iowa. Damaging
winds should be the primary hazard, but some severe hail may occur,
and a tornado cannot be entirely ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Waterloo IA to 25 miles east southeast of Dubuque IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 348
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1105 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Iowa
Northwest Illinois
Southeast Minnesota
Southwest Wisconsin
* Effective this Thursday morning and evening from 1105 AM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A remnant MCV (mesoscale convective vortex) will continue
to contribute to severe thunderstorm development initially across
northern Iowa into southeast Minnesota. Over time, additional storms
should develop across broader portions of eastern Iowa. Damaging
winds should be the primary hazard, but some severe hail may occur,
and a tornado cannot be entirely ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Waterloo IA to 25 miles east southeast of Dubuque IA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 348 SEVERE TSTM IA IL MN WI 091605Z - 100000Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WSW ALO/WATERLOO IA/ - 25ESE DBQ/DUBUQUE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM N/S /48ESE FOD - 21ESE DBQ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 43869330 43859027 40669027 40689330
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 348 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 348
VALID 092245Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE OTM
TO 10 NE CID TO 10 N DBQ TO 35 ENE DBQ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1162
..LYONS..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC071-085-131-161-187-092340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON JO DAVIESS MERCER
ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC031-045-057-061-087-097-101-103-105-111-115-139-163-177-183-
092340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CEDAR CLINTON DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LEE LOUISA MUSCATINE
SCOTT VAN BUREN WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 348
VALID 092150Z - 092240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW OXV TO
30 SSW ALO TO 40 ENE ALO TO 40 W LNR TO 10 NW VOK.
..LYONS..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC071-085-131-161-187-092240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON JO DAVIESS MERCER
ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC007-011-019-031-043-045-051-055-057-061-087-095-097-101-103-
105-107-111-113-115-123-135-139-157-163-171-177-179-183-
092240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE BENTON BUCHANAN
CEDAR CLAYTON CLINTON
DAVIS DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES KEOKUK LEE
LINN LOUISA MAHASKA
MONROE MUSCATINE POWESHIEK
SCOTT TAMA VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WASHINGTON
$$
WIC043-103-092240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT RICHLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 348
VALID 092010Z - 092140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE DSM
TO 45 NE DSM TO 20 SSW ALO TO 25 NE ALO TO 50 SSW LSE TO 25 WNW
LSE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1159
..JEWELL..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC071-085-131-161-187-092140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON JO DAVIESS MERCER
ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-019-031-043-045-051-055-057-061-065-087-095-
097-099-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-123-125-127-135-139-157-163-
171-177-179-183-191-092140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BUCHANAN CEDAR
CLAYTON CLINTON DAVIS
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
FAYETTE HENRY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK
LEE LINN LOUISA
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE MUSCATINE POWESHIEK
SCOTT TAMA VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WASHINGTON WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC055-092140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON
$$
WIC023-043-103-123-092140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD GRANT RICHLAND
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 348
VALID 091830Z - 091940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE FOD TO
40 WSW ALO TO 20 W ALO TO 40 E MCW TO 15 ENE RST.
..JEWELL..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...DVN...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 348
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC071-085-131-161-187-091940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON JO DAVIESS MERCER
ROCK ISLAND WARREN
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-023-031-037-043-045-051-055-057-061-
065-067-075-087-089-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-123-
125-127-135-139-157-163-171-177-179-183-191-091940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUCHANAN
BUTLER CEDAR CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CLINTON DAVIS
DELAWARE DES MOINES DUBUQUE
FAYETTE FLOYD GRUNDY
HENRY HOWARD IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
JOHNSON JONES KEOKUK
LEE LINN LOUISA
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE MUSCATINE POWESHIEK
SCOTT TAMA VAN BUREN
WAPELLO WASHINGTON WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC045-055-091940-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON
$$
WIC023-043-103-123-091940-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD GRANT RICHLAND
VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.