Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
until 700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms near the eastern Oklahoma/western
Arkansas border at midday (Noon CDT) will likely continue
east-southeastward, while additional storms develop ahead of it this
afternoon across central/eastern Arkansas. Isolated damaging wind
gusts are the main hazard, but some hail could also locally occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast
of Russellville AR to 45 miles south southeast of Hot Springs AR.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 348...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
until 700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms near the eastern Oklahoma/western
Arkansas border at midday (Noon CDT) will likely continue
east-southeastward, while additional storms develop ahead of it this
afternoon across central/eastern Arkansas. Isolated damaging wind
gusts are the main hazard, but some hail could also locally occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast
of Russellville AR to 45 miles south southeast of Hot Springs AR.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 348...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 349 SEVERE TSTM AR 091715Z - 100000Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ENE RUE/RUSSELLVILLE AR/ - 45SSE HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /50N LIT - 37N ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 35499075 33869123 33869437 35499395
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 349 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 349
VALID 092150Z - 100000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW PBF
TO 35 E PBF TO 55 ENE PBF.
WW 349 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100000Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1161
..LYONS..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-079-100000-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS LINCOLN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 349
VALID 092010Z - 092140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W DEQ TO
30 SW HOT TO 20 ESE HOT TO 15 SW LIT TO 15 NNE LIT TO 10 E BVX.
..JEWELL..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-025-039-053-059-069-079-085-095-109-117-119-145-
092140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLEVELAND
DALLAS GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON LINCOLN LONOKE
MONROE PIKE PRAIRIE
PULASKI WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 349
VALID 091850Z - 091940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S RKR TO
40 ESE RKR TO 30 SW RUE TO 10 SSE RUE TO 20 NE RUE TO 20 S FLP.
..JEWELL..07/09/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 349
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-023-025-029-039-045-051-053-059-069-079-085-095-097-
105-109-113-115-117-119-125-141-145-149-091940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING JEFFERSON LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE MONTGOMERY
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE VAN BUREN WHITE
YELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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