Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 362
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1210 PM CDT Sun Jul 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Alabama
Eastern Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Ongoing storms across northern Alabama/northeast
Mississippi will continue to organize as the progress/accelerate
southeastward across Alabama and eastern Mississippi this afternoon.
Damaging winds are the primary severe concern.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Birmingham AL to 25 miles southwest of Montgomery AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 362 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 121710Z - 130000Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW BHM/BIRMINGHAM AL/ - 25SW MGM/MONTGOMERY AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /30NW VUZ - 22WSW MGM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31030.
LAT...LON 34028582 32038525 32038815 34028879
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 362 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 362
VALID 122050Z - 122140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE MEI
TO 45 NE MEI TO 40 WNW AUO TO 25 W LGC.
..KERR..07/12/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 362
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-011-017-047-051-081-085-087-091-101-105-113-119-123-
122140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BULLOCK CHAMBERS
DALLAS ELMORE LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MONTGOMERY PERRY RUSSELL
SUMTER TALLAPOOSA
$$
MSC069-103-122140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER NOXUBEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 362
VALID 122000Z - 122140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW CBM
TO 20 WSW TCL TO 25 SSE TCL TO 35 SSE BHM TO 15 SE ANB.
..KERR..07/12/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 362
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-011-017-021-027-037-047-051-063-065-081-085-087-091-101-
105-111-113-119-123-122140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BULLOCK CHAMBERS
CHILTON CLAY COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE LEE LOWNDES
MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY
PERRY RANDOLPH RUSSELL
SUMTER TALLAPOOSA
$$
MSC069-103-122140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER NOXUBEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 362
VALID 121855Z - 121940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE TUP TO
25 NNW TCL TO 5 WNW BHM TO 15 W GAD.
..KERR..07/12/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 362
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-011-015-017-021-027-029-037-047-051-063-065-073-085-
087-091-101-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-121940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BULLOCK
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHILTON
CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LOWNDES
MACON MARENGO MONTGOMERY
PERRY PICKENS RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC025-069-087-103-105-121940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY KEMPER LOWNDES
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.