Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 363
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Northeast New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms including supercells will
continue to develop this afternoon, initially across eastern
Colorado and northeast New Mexico, with storms spreading
east-southeastward over time. The moist/unstable environment support
the possibility of at least isolated large hail (some significant 2+
inch diameter), with severe-caliber wind gusts also expected as
storms spread across the High Plains through late afternoon/evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Burlington CO to 55 miles west southwest of Tucumcari NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 362...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32020.
...Guyer
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 363
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM MDT Sun Jul 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Northeast New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 205 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms including supercells will
continue to develop this afternoon, initially across eastern
Colorado and northeast New Mexico, with storms spreading
east-southeastward over time. The moist/unstable environment support
the possibility of at least isolated large hail (some significant 2+
inch diameter), with severe-caliber wind gusts also expected as
storms spread across the High Plains through late afternoon/evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Burlington CO to 55 miles west southwest of Tucumcari NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 362...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 363 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 122005Z - 130300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNW ITR/BURLINGTON CO/ - 55WSW TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /29ESE AKO - 48WSW TCC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32020.
LAT...LON 39900123 34860317 34860582 39900406
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 363 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 363
VALID 130205Z - 130340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW LVS
TO 30 E RTN TO 15 SE GLD.
..SPC..07/13/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 363
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-061-099-130340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA KIOWA PROWERS
$$
KSC071-109-193-199-203-130340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY LOGAN THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-130340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX GUADALUPE HARDING
MORA QUAY SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 363
VALID 130000Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W PUB TO
40 N GLD.
..SPC..07/12/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 363
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-071-089-099-101-130140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
KSC023-071-109-153-181-193-199-203-130140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY LOGAN
RAWLINS SHERMAN THOMAS
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-130140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK
$$
NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-130140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX GUADALUPE HARDING
MORA QUAY SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
OKC025-130140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-130140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 363
VALID 122225Z - 122340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/12/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 363
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-041-055-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-121-
125-122340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO
HUERFANO KIOWA KIT CARSON
LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN OTERO
PROWERS PUEBLO WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-071-181-199-122340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY SHERMAN
WALLACE
$$
NMC007-019-021-033-037-047-059-122340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX GUADALUPE HARDING
MORA QUAY SAN MIGUEL
UNION
$$
OKC025-122340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON
$$
TXC111-205-122340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM HARTLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
