Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 615 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify early this evening
over northwest Minnesota and spread eastward. Damaging winds appear
to be the main threat, although hail and a tornado or two are also
possible with the more intense activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west northwest
of International Falls MN to 10 miles southeast of Brainerd MN. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 366...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
615 PM CDT Mon Jul 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 615 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify early this evening
over northwest Minnesota and spread eastward. Damaging winds appear
to be the main threat, although hail and a tornado or two are also
possible with the more intense activity.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west northwest
of International Falls MN to 10 miles southeast of Brainerd MN. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 366...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 367 SEVERE TSTM MN 132315Z - 140700Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WNW INL/INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN/ - 10SE BRD/BRAINERD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /22WNW INL - 4SSE BRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 48699193 46289210 46289587 48699588
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 367 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 367
VALID 140525Z - 140640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E BRD TO
25 NNE DLH.
..DIAL..07/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC017-140640-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARLTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 367
VALID 140430Z - 140540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S BRD TO
15 SW HIB TO 40 N ELO.
..HART..07/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-017-137-140540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN CARLTON ST. LOUIS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 367
VALID 140305Z - 140400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE AXN
TO 40 ENE INL.
..SMITH..07/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-017-021-035-061-071-137-159-140400-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN CARLTON CASS
CROW WING ITASCA KOOCHICHING
ST. LOUIS WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 367
VALID 140220Z - 140340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW AXN
TO 20 NNE INL.
..LYONS..07/14/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 367
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-017-021-035-057-061-071-137-159-140340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN CARLTON CASS
CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING ST. LOUIS WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.