Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 375
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM MDT Wed Jul 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast and east-central Colorado
Northeast New Mexico
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 225 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to increase into the
high plains of southeast/east-central Colorado this afternoon, and a
bit later across northeast New Mexico. Large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts are the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast
of Limon CO to 35 miles south southwest of Tucumcari NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 373...WW 374...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 375
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM MDT Wed Jul 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast and east-central Colorado
Northeast New Mexico
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 225 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to increase into the
high plains of southeast/east-central Colorado this afternoon, and a
bit later across northeast New Mexico. Large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts are the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles east northeast
of Limon CO to 35 miles south southwest of Tucumcari NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 373...WW 374...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 375 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 152025Z - 160300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10ENE LIC/LIMON CO/ - 35SSW TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /52SSW AKO - 30SSW TCC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
LAT...LON 39320237 34710278 34710489 39320462
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 375 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 375
VALID 160220Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CVS
TO 50 NNW TCC TO 25 ESE TAD TO 5 ESE SPD.
..SPC..07/16/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 375
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-071-160340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA LAS ANIMAS
$$
NMC009-021-037-059-160340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 375
VALID 160030Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE LVS
TO 45 SSE RTN TO 35 W CAO TO 30 E TAD TO 30 SE PUB TO 5 NW LIC.
..SPC..07/16/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 375
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-071-089-099-160140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
$$
NMC009-021-037-059-160140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 375
VALID 152335Z - 160040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/15/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 375
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-041-061-071-073-089-099-101-119-160040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO
KIOWA LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
TELLER
$$
NMC007-009-021-037-059-160040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY HARDING
QUAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 375
VALID 152220Z - 152340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/15/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...ABQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 375
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-041-061-071-073-089-099-101-119-152340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO
KIOWA LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO
TELLER
$$
NMC007-009-021-037-059-152340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLFAX CURRY HARDING
QUAY UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.