Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 380
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 PM CDT Fri Jul 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern and central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
Northern South Dakota
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 535
PM until 100 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds expected with scattered significant
gusts to 90 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...An intense linear-type complex of storms is expected to
evolve into a derecho this evening and produce
widespread/significant damaging winds as it accelerates
east-southeastward across the region. Isolated large hail is also
possible, and a tornado risk cannot be ruled out, particularly near
the warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles north of
Mobridge SD to 45 miles east of Brainerd MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 379...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...Guyer
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 380
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 PM CDT Fri Jul 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern and central Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
Northern South Dakota
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 535
PM until 100 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds expected with scattered significant
gusts to 90 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...An intense linear-type complex of storms is expected to
evolve into a derecho this evening and produce
widespread/significant damaging winds as it accelerates
east-southeastward across the region. Isolated large hail is also
possible, and a tornado risk cannot be ruled out, particularly near
the warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles north of
Mobridge SD to 45 miles east of Brainerd MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 379...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 80 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector
29040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 380 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD 172235Z - 180600Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
85N MBG/MOBRIDGE SD/ - 45E BRD/BRAINERD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /10E BIS - 35E BRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29040.
LAT...LON 47990043 47639319 45179319 45530043
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 380 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 380
VALID 180450Z - 180540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE MBG TO
40 ENE MBG TO 50 NW ABR TO 50 NNE ABR TO 55 NNW VVV TO 20 NW AXN
TO 25 W BRD TO 30 NE BRD TO 30 SW HIB TO 15 WNW HIB TO 15 N HIB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1257
..COOK..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 380
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-017-035-041-051-059-065-067-093-095-097-115-121-
137-141-145-149-151-153-155-171-180540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CARLTON CROW WING DOUGLAS
GRANT ISANTI KANABEC
KANDIYOHI MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON PINE POPE
ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WRIGHT
$$
NDC021-081-180540-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKEY SARGENT
$$
SDC013-037-045-089-091-109-180540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN DAY EDMUNDS
MCPHERSON MARSHALL ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 380
VALID 180235Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW MBG
TO 35 N MBG TO 40 ESE BIS TO 30 W JMS TO 25 ENE JMS TO 35 NW FAR
TO 10 NW FAR TO 20 ESE FAR TO 20 SE DTL TO 45 NW BRD TO 30 SE BJI
TO 45 NE BJI.
..COOK..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 380
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-017-021-035-041-051-059-061-065-067-093-095-097-
111-115-121-137-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-167-171-180340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CARLTON CASS CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT ISANTI
ITASCA KANABEC KANDIYOHI
MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON
OTTER TAIL PINE POPE
ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WADENA WILKIN
WRIGHT
$$
NDC003-017-021-045-047-051-073-077-081-093-180340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH
RANSOM RICHLAND SARGENT
STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-021-037-045-089-091-109-180340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CAMPBELL DAY
EDMUNDS MCPHERSON MARSHALL
ROBERTS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 380
VALID 180140Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW BIS
TO 45 WNW JMS TO 40 NNE JMS TO 40 SSW GFK TO 25 NNW DTL TO 10 SSE
BJI TO 50 NE BJI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1254
..COOK..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 380
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-009-011-017-021-027-029-035-041-051-057-059-061-
065-067-093-095-097-111-115-121-137-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-
167-171-180240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BENTON BIG STONE CARLTON
CASS CLAY CLEARWATER
CROW WING DOUGLAS GRANT
HUBBARD ISANTI ITASCA
KANABEC KANDIYOHI MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON OTTER TAIL
PINE POPE ST. LOUIS
SHERBURNE STEARNS STEVENS
SWIFT TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA WILKIN WRIGHT
$$
NDC003-017-021-039-045-047-051-073-077-081-091-093-180240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
GRIGGS LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-021-031-037-045-089-091-109-129-180240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CAMPBELL CORSON
DAY EDMUNDS MCPHERSON
MARSHALL ROBERTS WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 380
VALID 180025Z - 180140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 380
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-009-011-021-027-029-035-041-051-057-059-061-065-
067-087-093-095-097-107-111-121-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-167-
171-180140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BENTON BIG STONE CASS
CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT HUBBARD
ISANTI ITASCA KANABEC
KANDIYOHI MAHNOMEN MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON NORMAN
OTTER TAIL POPE SHERBURNE
STEARNS STEVENS SWIFT
TODD TRAVERSE WADENA
WILKIN WRIGHT
$$
NDC003-017-021-039-045-047-051-073-077-081-091-093-097-180140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
GRIGGS LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN
TRAILL
$$
SDC013-021-031-037-045-089-091-109-129-180140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CAMPBELL CORSON
DAY EDMUNDS MCPHERSON
MARSHALL ROBERTS WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 380
VALID 180000Z - 180140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/17/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...MPX...ABR...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 380
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-009-011-021-027-029-035-041-051-057-059-061-065-
067-087-093-095-097-107-111-121-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-167-
171-180140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
BENTON BIG STONE CASS
CLAY CLEARWATER CROW WING
DOUGLAS GRANT HUBBARD
ISANTI ITASCA KANABEC
KANDIYOHI MAHNOMEN MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON NORMAN
OTTER TAIL POPE SHERBURNE
STEARNS STEVENS SWIFT
TODD TRAVERSE WADENA
WILKIN WRIGHT
$$
NDC003-017-021-039-045-047-051-073-077-081-091-093-097-180140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
GRIGGS LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN
TRAILL
$$
SDC013-021-031-037-045-089-091-109-129-180140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CAMPBELL CORSON
DAY EDMUNDS MCPHERSON
MARSHALL ROBERTS WALWORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (80%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.