Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 382
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northeast Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will form this afternoon over parts of
central Minnesota and spread eastward across the watch area.
Activity will eventually move into parts of northern Wisconsin and
western Lake Superior, posing a continued risk of large hail and
damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west northwest
of Saint Cloud MN to 30 miles north northeast of Ironwood MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 382
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northeast Minnesota
Northwest Wisconsin
Lake Superior
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will form this afternoon over parts of
central Minnesota and spread eastward across the watch area.
Activity will eventually move into parts of northern Wisconsin and
western Lake Superior, posing a continued risk of large hail and
damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west northwest
of Saint Cloud MN to 30 miles north northeast of Ironwood MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 382 SEVERE TSTM MN WI LS 182055Z - 190400Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60WNW STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/ - 30NNE IWD/IRONWOOD MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /56WSW BRD - 80NNW RHI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 47119520 48168989 45708989 44659520
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 382 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 382
VALID 190335Z - 190400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSP TO
15 WNW HIB AND 20 NE MSP TO 25 SW ELO.
WW 382 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190400Z.
..MARSH..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-005-007-051-095-099-107-109-113-129-190400-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
IRON POLK PRICE
RUSK ST. CROIX SAWYER
WASHBURN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 382
VALID 190250Z - 190340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSP TO
15 WNW HIB AND 20 NE MSP TO 25 SW ELO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1268.
..MARSH..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC031-075-137-163-190340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOK LAKE ST. LOUIS
WASHINGTON
$$
WIC003-005-007-013-031-051-095-099-107-109-113-129-190340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BURNETT DOUGLAS IRON
POLK PRICE RUSK
ST. CROIX SAWYER WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-190340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 382
VALID 190145Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MSP TO
15 WNW HIB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1268.
..MARSH..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-017-025-031-037-059-065-075-115-123-137-139-163-190240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CARLTON CHISAGO
COOK DAKOTA ISANTI
KANABEC LAKE PINE
RAMSEY ST. LOUIS SCOTT
WASHINGTON
$$
WIC003-005-007-013-031-051-095-099-107-109-113-129-190240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BURNETT DOUGLAS IRON
POLK PRICE RUSK
ST. CROIX SAWYER WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-190240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 382
VALID 182340Z - 190040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1267.
..MARSH..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-017-019-021-025-031-035-037-053-059-061-065-067-
075-085-093-095-097-115-123-129-137-139-141-143-145-153-163-171-
190040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
CARLTON CARVER CASS
CHISAGO COOK CROW WING
DAKOTA HENNEPIN ISANTI
ITASCA KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LAKE MCLEOD MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE
RAMSEY RENVILLE ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS TODD WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
$$
WIC003-005-007-013-031-051-095-099-107-109-113-129-190040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BURNETT DOUGLAS IRON
POLK PRICE RUSK
ST. CROIX SAWYER WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-190040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 382
VALID 182210Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..07/18/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 382
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-017-019-021-025-031-035-037-053-059-061-065-067-
075-085-093-095-097-115-123-129-137-139-141-143-145-153-163-171-
182340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
CARLTON CARVER CASS
CHISAGO COOK CROW WING
DAKOTA HENNEPIN ISANTI
ITASCA KANABEC KANDIYOHI
LAKE MCLEOD MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON PINE
RAMSEY RENVILLE ST. LOUIS
SCOTT SHERBURNE SIBLEY
STEARNS TODD WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
$$
WIC003-005-007-013-031-051-095-099-107-109-113-129-182340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
BURNETT DOUGLAS IRON
POLK PRICE RUSK
ST. CROIX SAWYER WASHBURN
$$
LSZ121-140-141-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-162-182340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHEQUAMEGON BAY-BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI
GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN
TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI
PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI
OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI
LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE MN BEYOND 5NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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