SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1250 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Western New York
     Lake Erie
     Lake Ontario

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until
     700 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over Ontario will track into
   western New York this afternoon, posing a risk of locally damaging
   wind gusts.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles southeast of
   Jamestown NY to 20 miles north of Watertown NY. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27035.

   ...Hart

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 385
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1250 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Western New York
     Lake Erie
     Lake Ontario

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1250 PM until
     700 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms over Ontario will track into
   western New York this afternoon, posing a risk of locally damaging
   wind gusts.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles southeast of
   Jamestown NY to 20 miles north of Watertown NY. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27035.

   ...Hart

   WOUS64 KWNS 191647
   WOU5

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 385
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1250 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2020

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 385 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   NYC003-009-011-013-029-037-045-049-051-055-063-069-073-075-099-
   101-117-121-123-192300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0385.200719T1650Z-200719T2300Z/

   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ALLEGANY             CATTARAUGUS         CAYUGA              
   CHAUTAUQUA           ERIE                GENESEE             
   JEFFERSON            LEWIS               LIVINGSTON          
   MONROE               NIAGARA             ONTARIO             
   ORLEANS              OSWEGO              SENECA              
   STEUBEN              WAYNE               WYOMING             
   YATES                


   LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-
   192300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0385.200719T1650Z-200719T2300Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

   RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY 

   DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY 

   LOWER NIAGARA RIVER 

   NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY 

   HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY 

   SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY 

   MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER 

   NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
   TO US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

   ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

   ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

   SAW5 
   WW 385 SEVERE TSTM NY LE LO 191650Z - 192300Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   15SE JHW/JAMESTOWN NY/ - 20N ART/WATERTOWN NY/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /12SSE JHW - 64SSW YOW/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

   LAT...LON 41998021 44287723 44287481 41997787

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.

Watch 385 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 385

VALID 192140Z - 192240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE ERI TO
15 NE JHW TO 5 W BFD TO 45 WSW ELM TO 15 NE ELM TO 30 SE SYR.

..COOK..07/19/20

ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC013-192240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAUTAUQUA	     
$$


LEZ020-SLZ022-024-192240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 385

VALID 192040Z - 192140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE ERI TO
15 WSW SYR.

..GOSS..07/19/20

ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC003-009-011-013-051-069-099-101-123-192140-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY	     CATTARAUGUS	 CAYUGA 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     LIVINGSTON 	 ONTARIO	     
SENECA		     STEUBEN		 YATES		     
$$


LEZ020-SLZ022-024-192140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 385

VALID 192000Z - 192140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW JHW
TO 25 ENE ROC TO 25 NNW ART.

..GOSS..07/19/20

ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC003-009-011-013-029-037-045-049-051-055-069-075-099-101-117-
121-123-192140-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY	     CATTARAUGUS	 CAYUGA 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     ERIE		 GENESEE	     
JEFFERSON	     LEWIS		 LIVINGSTON	     
MONROE		     ONTARIO		 OSWEGO 	     
SENECA		     STEUBEN		 WAYNE		     
WYOMING 	     YATES		 
$$


LEZ020-040-041-LOZ044-045-064-065-SLZ022-024-192140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER 

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER 

UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY 

DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 385

VALID 191900Z - 192040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW BUF TO
30 NW ROC TO 40 WNW ART.

..GOSS..07/19/20

ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC003-009-011-013-029-037-045-049-051-055-063-069-073-075-099-
101-117-121-123-192040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY	     CATTARAUGUS	 CAYUGA 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     ERIE		 GENESEE	     
JEFFERSON	     LEWIS		 LIVINGSTON	     
MONROE		     NIAGARA		 ONTARIO	     
ORLEANS 	     OSWEGO		 SENECA 	     
STEUBEN 	     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YATES		     
$$


LEZ020-040-041-LOZ043-044-045-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-192040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY 

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER 

HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER 

UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY 

DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 385

VALID 191740Z - 191840Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW YNG
TO 120 NNW ROC.

..MOORE..07/19/20

ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 385 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC003-009-011-013-029-037-045-049-051-055-063-069-073-075-099-
101-117-121-123-191840-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALLEGANY	     CATTARAUGUS	 CAYUGA 	     
CHAUTAUQUA	     ERIE		 GENESEE	     
JEFFERSON	     LEWIS		 LIVINGSTON	     
MONROE		     NIAGARA		 ONTARIO	     
ORLEANS 	     OSWEGO		 SENECA 	     
STEUBEN 	     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YATES		     
$$


LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-
191840-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LOWER NIAGARA RIVER 

NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY 

HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY 

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER 

NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER 

UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR 

RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY 

DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY 

ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.