Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 386
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Ohio
Northwest Pennsylvania
Lake Erie
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are developing across western Ohio
in a warm/humid and unstable air mass. These storms will progress
across the watch area through the afternoon, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south
southwest of Findlay OH to 20 miles northeast of Franklin PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...WW 385...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 386
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Sun Jul 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Ohio
Northwest Pennsylvania
Lake Erie
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are developing across western Ohio
in a warm/humid and unstable air mass. These storms will progress
across the watch area through the afternoon, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south
southwest of Findlay OH to 20 miles northeast of Franklin PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 384...WW 385...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 386 SEVERE TSTM OH PA LE 192015Z - 200300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25SSW FDY/FINDLAY OH/ - 20NE FKL/FRANKLIN PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /25NNE ROD - 41SE ERI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 41418385 42317960 40867960 39968385
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 386 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 386
VALID 192310Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE CAK
TO 15 W YNG TO 15 N YNG TO 5 NNW FKL TO 25 NE FKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1284
..COOK..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC099-155-200040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MAHONING TRUMBULL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 386
VALID 192225Z - 192340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE ZZV
TO 20 WSW CAK TO 20 E CLE TO 35 SW ERI TO 5 ENE ERI TO 15 NW JHW.
..COOK..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC007-055-075-099-133-151-153-155-169-192340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA GEAUGA HOLMES
MAHONING PORTAGE STARK
SUMMIT TRUMBULL WAYNE
$$
PAC039-049-192340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD ERIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 386
VALID 192140Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 386
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC005-007-021-023-033-035-041-043-049-055-063-065-075-077-083-
085-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-117-123-133-139-143-147-151-
153-155-159-169-173-175-192240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA
DELAWARE ERIE FRANKLIN
GEAUGA HANCOCK HARDIN
HOLMES HURON KNOX
LAKE LICKING LOGAN
LORAIN LUCAS MADISON
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MORROW OTTAWA PORTAGE
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
UNION WAYNE WOOD
WYANDOT
$$
PAC039-049-192240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD ERIE
$$
LEZ061-142-143-144-145-146-147-148-149-162-163-164-165-166-167-
168-169-192240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.