Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 387
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM MDT Sun Jul 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Western Nebraska
Southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered storms will continue to intensify across
the region, this includes some supercells capable of large hail,
particularly across eastern Wyoming, southwest South Dakota and
western Nebraska where deep-layer winds are strongest. Multiple
east/southeastward-moving clusters may evolve by evening, with
severe-caliber wind gusts also a possibility.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles east northeast
of Gillette WY to 65 miles south of Imperial NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 385...WW 386...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Guyer
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 387
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM MDT Sun Jul 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
Western Nebraska
Southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered storms will continue to intensify across
the region, this includes some supercells capable of large hail,
particularly across eastern Wyoming, southwest South Dakota and
western Nebraska where deep-layer winds are strongest. Multiple
east/southeastward-moving clusters may evolve by evening, with
severe-caliber wind gusts also a possibility.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles east northeast
of Gillette WY to 65 miles south of Imperial NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 385...WW 386...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 387 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE SD WY 192205Z - 200500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70ENE GCC/GILLETTE WY/ - 65S IML/IMPERIAL NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /69NW RAP - 12NNE GLD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31020.
LAT...LON 44720238 39579993 39570331 44720605
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 387 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 387
VALID 200425Z - 200540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W TOR TO
45 N TOR TO 40 WNW VTN.
..BROYLES..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-153-200540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-
105-111-113-117-123-135-145-157-161-165-171-200540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEITH
KIMBALL LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON MORRILL PERKINS
RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN
SIOUX THOMAS
$$
WYC015-200540-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 387
VALID 200400Z - 200540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N DGW TO
65 WSW RAP TO 45 WNW CDR TO 65 WNW VTN TO 45 WNW VTN.
..BROYLES..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-153-200540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-063-069-075-085-087-091-101-
105-111-113-117-123-135-145-157-161-165-171-200540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL FRONTIER
GARDEN GRANT HAYES
HITCHCOCK HOOKER KEITH
KIMBALL LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON MORRILL PERKINS
RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN
SIOUX THOMAS
$$
WYC015-027-200540-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN NIOBRARA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 387
VALID 200255Z - 200340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-125-200340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-153-200340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-
101-105-111-113-117-123-135-145-157-161-165-171-200340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL DUNDY
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER
KEITH KIMBALL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON MORRILL
PERKINS RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC033-047-081-102-103-200340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
$$
WYC005-011-015-027-045-200340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK GOSHEN
NIOBRARA WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 387
VALID 192335Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-125-200040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-153-200040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-
101-105-111-113-117-123-135-145-157-161-165-171-200040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL DUNDY
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER
KEITH KIMBALL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON MORRILL
PERKINS RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC033-047-081-102-103-200040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
$$
WYC005-011-015-027-045-200040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK GOSHEN
NIOBRARA WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 387
VALID 192240Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/19/20
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...LBF...CYS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 387
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-121-125-192340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-153-192340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-007-013-029-031-033-045-049-057-063-069-075-085-087-091-
101-105-111-113-117-123-135-145-157-161-165-171-192340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
CHASE CHERRY CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL DUNDY
FRONTIER GARDEN GRANT
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER
KEITH KIMBALL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON MORRILL
PERKINS RED WILLOW SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX THOMAS
$$
SDC033-047-081-102-103-192340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FALL RIVER LAWRENCE
OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
$$
WYC005-011-015-027-045-192340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CROOK GOSHEN
NIOBRARA WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.