Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 388
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southwest South Dakota
Northeast Wyoming
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are expected to affect
the watch area this afternoon and early evening. The strongest
cells will pose a risk of large hail and locally damaging wind
gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west southwest
of Philip SD to 40 miles northeast of Chamberlain SD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 388 SEVERE TSTM SD WY 201815Z - 210000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WSW PHP/PHILIP SD/ - 40NE 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /20SSE RAP - 63ESE PIR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 44600289 45129875 43249875 42710289
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 388 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 388
VALID 202320Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE CDR TO
35 NNE CDR TO 45 SW PHP TO 20 SSE PHP TO 40 S PIR TO 10 SSW 9V9
TO 35 SW MHE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1294
..COOK..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC007-071-095-102-121-123-210040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT JACKSON MELLETTE
OGLALA LAKOTA TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 388
VALID 202225Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE DGW
TO 35 W RAP TO 50 N RAP.
..COOK..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC005-007-015-017-033-047-049-055-059-065-069-071-073-075-085-
095-102-103-107-115-119-121-123-202340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BRULE
BUFFALO CUSTER FALL RIVER
FAULK HAAKON HAND
HUGHES HYDE JACKSON
JERAULD JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER SPINK SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 388
VALID 202145Z - 202240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC005-007-015-017-033-047-049-055-059-065-069-071-073-075-085-
095-102-103-107-115-119-121-123-202240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BRULE
BUFFALO CUSTER FALL RIVER
FAULK HAAKON HAND
HUGHES HYDE JACKSON
JERAULD JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER SPINK SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
WYC045-202240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 388
VALID 202035Z - 202140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC005-007-015-017-033-047-049-055-059-065-069-071-073-075-085-
095-102-103-107-115-119-121-123-202140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BRULE
BUFFALO CUSTER FALL RIVER
FAULK HAAKON HAND
HUGHES HYDE JACKSON
JERAULD JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA PENNINGTON
POTTER SPINK SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
WYC045-202140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 388
VALID 201935Z - 202040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 388
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SDC005-007-015-017-033-041-047-049-055-059-065-069-071-073-075-
085-095-102-103-107-117-119-121-123-202040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BRULE
BUFFALO CUSTER DEWEY
FALL RIVER FAULK HAAKON
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE OGLALA LAKOTA
PENNINGTON POTTER STANLEY
SULLY TODD TRIPP
$$
WYC045-202040-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WESTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.