Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 389
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and central Nebraska
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 445 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initial supercells across parts of west-central Nebraska
will pose a risk for large hail before potentially developing into a
southeast-moving cluster in southwest Nebraska with an increasing
severe wind risk. Another cluster may emanate out of southwest and
south-central South Dakota and spread into portions of northern
Nebraska this evening with a severe hail and wind risk.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south of North
Platte NE to 30 miles west northwest of Valentine NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 388...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 389 SEVERE TSTM NE 202145Z - 210500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40S LBF/NORTH PLATTE NE/ - 30WNW VTN/VALENTINE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /21N MCK - 56WNW ANW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30020.
LAT...LON 40540201 43010248 43019971 40549935
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 389 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 389
VALID 210435Z - 210500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E LBF TO
30 NW BUB TO 25 N BUB.
WW 389 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 210500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1297
..GUYER..07/21/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC041-115-210500-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER LOUP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 389
VALID 210340Z - 210440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW IML TO
45 ESE AIA TO 40 ESE MHN TO 20 SW ANW TO 25 N BUB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1296
..GUYER..07/21/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-041-063-085-101-111-113-115-117-135-149-171-
210440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CUSTER FRONTIER
HAYES KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINS ROCK THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 389
VALID 210225Z - 210340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW AIA
TO 35 W MHN TO 25 N MHN TO 25 WSW ANW TO 30 SE ANW TO 25 NNE BUB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1296
..COOK..07/21/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-111-113-
115-117-135-149-171-210340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY CUSTER
DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
ROCK THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 389
VALID 210130Z - 210240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AIA
TO 40 NW MHN TO 15 NNE VTN.
..COOK..07/21/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103-111-
113-115-117-135-149-161-171-210240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY CUSTER
DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 389
VALID 202320Z - 210040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103-111-
113-115-117-135-149-161-171-210040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY CUSTER
DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 389
VALID 202225Z - 202340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/20/20
ATTN...WFO...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 389
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-029-031-041-049-063-069-075-085-091-101-103-111-
113-115-117-135-149-161-171-202340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHASE CHERRY CUSTER
DEUEL FRONTIER GARDEN
GRANT HAYES HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINS ROCK SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.