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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 393
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Western and Central Maryland
South Central Pennsylvania
Northern and Central Virginia
Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from NOON until
700 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify and over the mountains of
northern Virginia and southwest Pennsylvania and spread eastward
this afternoon and early evening. Damaging winds and perhaps hail
are expected with the more intense storms today.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles south of
Charlottesville VA to 35 miles north northwest of Harrisburg PA. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 393 SEVERE TSTM DC MD PA VA WV CW 221600Z - 222300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20S CHO/CHARLOTTESVILLE VA/ - 35NNW CXY/HARRISBURG PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /51NE LYH - 28N HAR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 37838001 40687872 40687547 37837689
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 393 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 393
VALID 222045Z - 222140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CHO
TO 50 NNW RIC TO 5 N DCA TO 40 SE CXY TO 40 ENE CXY TO 30 WNW ABE.
..LEITMAN..07/22/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-222140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-009-017-025-033-037-510-222140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CHARLES
HARFORD PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
VAC013-099-177-510-630-222140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON KING GEORGE SPOTSYLVANIA
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FREDERICKSBURG
$$
ANZ530-532-533-534-537-538-539-540-541-542-543-222140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 393
VALID 221905Z - 222040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E SSU TO
15 N SHD TO 40 NE CHO TO 25 NNE HGR TO 35 SSE IPT.
..LEITMAN..07/22/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-222040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-510-222040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CARROLL CHARLES FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY
PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
PAC001-037-041-043-071-075-099-107-133-222040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND
DAUPHIN LANCASTER LEBANON
PERRY SCHUYLKILL YORK
$$
VAC003-013-015-047-059-061-079-099-107-113-125-137-139-153-157-
165-177-179-510-540-600-610-630-660-683-685-790-820-222040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON AUGUSTA
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
GREENE KING GEORGE LOUDOUN
MADISON NELSON ORANGE
PAGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK
ROCKINGHAM SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG
MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK STAUNTON
WAYNESBORO
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-539-540-541-542-543-
222040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 393
VALID 221805Z - 221940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/22/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 393
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-221940-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC001-003-005-009-013-017-021-025-027-031-033-037-043-510-
221940-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE
CALVERT CARROLL CHARLES
FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES ST. MARYS
WASHINGTON
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
PAC001-009-013-021-027-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-071-075-087-
093-097-099-107-109-111-119-133-221940-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BEDFORD BLAIR
CAMBRIA CENTRE COLUMBIA
CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN
FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA
LANCASTER LEBANON MIFFLIN
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY
SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET
UNION YORK
$$
VAC003-013-015-043-047-059-061-069-079-091-099-107-113-125-137-
139-153-157-165-171-177-179-187-510-540-600-610-630-660-683-685-
790-820-840-221940-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON AUGUSTA
CLARKE CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER FREDERICK GREENE
HIGHLAND KING GEORGE LOUDOUN
MADISON NELSON ORANGE
PAGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK
ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG
MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK STAUNTON
WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-023-027-031-037-057-065-071-221940-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY GRANT HAMPSHIRE
HARDY JEFFERSON MINERAL
MORGAN PENDLETON
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-538-539-540-541-542-543-
221940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.