Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 404
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
eastern Colorado
western Kansas
southwestern Nebraska
the Oklahoma panhandle
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop/spread across the WW
area this afternoon, with a few storms capable of producing large
hail and damaging winds. Storms may evolve into one or two linear
clusters by early evening, with potential for locally strong gusts
spreading across western Kansas with time.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of
Imperial NE to Liberal KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Goss
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 404
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
eastern Colorado
western Kansas
southwestern Nebraska
the Oklahoma panhandle
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 205 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop/spread across the WW
area this afternoon, with a few storms capable of producing large
hail and damaging winds. Storms may evolve into one or two linear
clusters by early evening, with potential for locally strong gusts
spreading across western Kansas with time.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of
Imperial NE to Liberal KS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 404 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE OK 292005Z - 300300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE IML/IMPERIAL NE/ - LBL/LIBERAL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /25SW LBF - LBL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 40879971 37039961 37030233 40870258
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 404 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 404
VALID 300145Z - 300240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E LBL TO
25 SE DDC TO 30 WNW HLC TO 40 N HLC.
..SPC..07/30/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...GID...LBF...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 404
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-033-047-051-057-065-083-097-135-137-145-147-163-165-179-
195-300240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS
ELLIS FORD GRAHAM
HODGEMAN KIOWA NESS
NORTON PAWNEE PHILLIPS
ROOKS RUSH SHERIDAN
TREGO
$$
OKC007-300240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 404
VALID 292355Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW ITR
TO 15 NNE GLD TO 25 WNW MCK TO 20 SSW LBF.
..SPC..07/29/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...GID...LBF...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 404
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-017-061-099-300040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA
PROWERS
$$
KSC025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-
093-097-101-109-119-129-135-137-145-147-153-163-165-171-175-179-
181-187-189-193-195-199-203-300040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK COMANCHE DECATUR
EDWARDS ELLIS FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE MORTON
NESS NORTON PAWNEE
PHILLIPS RAWLINS ROOKS
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STANTON
STEVENS THOMAS TREGO
WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC047-063-065-073-087-111-145-300040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAWSON FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER HITCHCOCK LINCOLN
RED WILLOW
$$
OKC007-025-139-300040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 404
VALID 292230Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/29/20
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...GID...LBF...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 404
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-017-061-063-095-099-115-125-292340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA CHEYENNE KIOWA
KIT CARSON PHILLIPS PROWERS
SEDGWICK YUMA
$$
KSC023-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-
083-093-097-101-109-119-129-135-137-145-147-153-163-165-171-175-
179-181-187-189-193-195-199-203-292340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE CLARK COMANCHE
DECATUR EDWARDS ELLIS
FINNEY FORD GOVE
GRAHAM GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KIOWA
LANE LOGAN MEADE
MORTON NESS NORTON
PAWNEE PHILLIPS RAWLINS
ROOKS RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD SHERIDAN SHERMAN
STANTON STEVENS THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC029-047-049-057-063-065-073-085-087-101-111-135-145-292340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE DAWSON DEUEL
DUNDY FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER HAYES HITCHCOCK
KEITH LINCOLN PERKINS
RED WILLOW
$$
OKC007-025-139-292340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
