Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 435 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.Multiple clusters
of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.Multiple clusters
of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles southwest of
Childress TX to 50 miles east of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Hart
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 435 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.Multiple clusters
of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.Multiple clusters
of thunderstorms are forming over
southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas. These storms will track
east-southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of locally damaging winds and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles southwest of
Childress TX to 50 miles east of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 405 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 302135Z - 310400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
90SW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 50E MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /29ESE LBB - 43SW FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 34300138 35669490 34089490 32710138
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 405 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 405
VALID 310230Z - 310340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N MWL TO
15 SW ADM TO 25 NW PRX TO 40 NNE PRX TO 20 E MKO.
..SPC..07/31/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-023-061-077-079-085-095-127-310340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CHOCTAW HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE LOVE
MARSHALL PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 405
VALID 310040Z - 310140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE LBB TO
75 S CDS TO 60 SW SPS TO 25 SSW FSI TO 30 E FSI TO 10 NNW ADM TO
25 WNW MLC TO 10 SSW MKO.
..SPC..07/31/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-033-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-091-095-
099-121-123-127-137-310140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COTTON
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
LOVE MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MURRAY PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-077-169-207-263-433-447-485-310140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
GARZA HASKELL KENT
STONEWALL THROCKMORTON WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 405
VALID 302335Z - 310040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE LBB
TO 35 SSW LTS TO 25 E FSI TO 30 SSE OKC TO 30 WSW MKO.
..SPC..07/30/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-033-049-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-087-
091-095-099-121-123-125-127-133-137-141-310040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL COTTON
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LOVE MCCLAIN
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-077-107-125-155-169-207-263-269-275-433-447-485-487-
310040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
CROSBY DICKENS FOARD
GARZA HASKELL KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.