Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 410
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and western Connecticut
Western Massachusetts
Extreme northern New Jersey
Eastern New York
Extreme northeast Pennsylvania
Western Vermont
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across the
watch area the remainder of this afternoon and early evening. A few
tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight-line winds
and isolated large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Saranac
Lake NY to 25 miles south of Poughkeepsie NY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Bunting
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 410 TORNADO CT MA NJ NY PA VT 021910Z - 030200Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNW SLK/SARANAC LAKE NY/ - 25S POU/POUGHKEEPSIE NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /11ESE MSS - 32ENE SAX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 44847304 41267253 41267523 44847590
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 410 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 410
VALID 030040Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW EWR
TO 25 ENE MSV TO 30 SSW ALB TO 20 WSW EEN TO 15 NE RUT TO 25 ENE
UCA TO 45 ENE ART TO 50 ENE MSS.
..WENDT..08/03/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BTV...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 410
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-030140-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
$$
MAC003-011-013-015-030140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE
$$
NJC003-031-030140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN PASSAIC
$$
NYC019-021-027-031-033-041-043-071-079-087-111-113-119-030140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON COLUMBIA DUTCHESS
ESSEX FRANKLIN HAMILTON
HERKIMER ORANGE PUTNAM
ROCKLAND ULSTER WARREN
WESTCHESTER
$$
VTC001-007-011-013-030140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON CHITTENDEN FRANKLIN
GRAND ISLE
$$
SLZ022-024-030140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 410
VALID 022350Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE ABE TO
25 N MSV TO 35 NNE UCA TO 30 W MSS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1381
..WENDT..08/02/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BTV...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 410
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-030040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
$$
MAC003-011-013-015-030040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE
$$
NJC003-031-037-030040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN PASSAIC SUSSEX
$$
NYC001-019-021-027-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-071-079-083-087-
089-091-093-095-111-113-115-119-030040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CLINTON COLUMBIA
DUTCHESS ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MONTGOMERY ORANGE
PUTNAM RENSSELAER ROCKLAND
ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE ULSTER WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTCHESTER
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-025-030040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
WINDHAM
$$
SLZ022-024-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 410
VALID 022135Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..08/02/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BTV...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 410
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-022240-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
$$
MAC003-011-013-015-022240-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE
$$
NJC003-031-037-022240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN PASSAIC SUSSEX
$$
NYC001-017-019-021-025-027-031-033-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-
071-077-079-083-087-089-091-093-095-105-111-113-115-119-
022240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CHENANGO CLINTON
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
ESSEX FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER
MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA
ORANGE OTSEGO PUTNAM
RENSSELAER ROCKLAND ST. LAWRENCE
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SULLIVAN ULSTER WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTCHESTER
$$
PAC089-103-127-022240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONROE PIKE WAYNE
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-025-022240-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
WINDHAM
$$
SLZ022-024-022240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 410
VALID 022030Z - 022140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE SYR
TO 50 WSW MSS.
..COOK..08/02/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BTV...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 410
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-005-007-009-013-022140-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD LITCHFIELD
MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN TOLLAND
$$
MAC003-011-013-015-022140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE FRANKLIN HAMPDEN
HAMPSHIRE
$$
NJC003-031-037-022140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERGEN PASSAIC SUSSEX
$$
NYC001-017-019-021-025-027-031-033-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-
071-077-079-083-087-089-091-093-095-105-111-113-115-119-
022140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CHENANGO CLINTON
COLUMBIA DELAWARE DUTCHESS
ESSEX FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER
MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA
ORANGE OTSEGO PUTNAM
RENSSELAER ROCKLAND ST. LAWRENCE
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SULLIVAN ULSTER WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTCHESTER
$$
PAC089-103-127-022140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONROE PIKE WAYNE
$$
VTC001-003-007-011-013-021-025-022140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
FRANKLIN GRAND ISLE RUTLAND
WINDHAM
$$
SLZ024-022140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.