Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 413
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
southern North Carolina
northeastern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 435 PM
until 200 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 90 mph possible
SUMMARY...With the landfall and inland migration of Isaias, the
potential for thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes may begin
to develop along northeastern South Carolina coastal areas by 6-8 PM
EDT, before increasing across and inland of southern North Carolina
coastal areas through late evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles south southwest of Myrtle
Beach SC to 35 miles north northeast of Wilmington NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 16025.
...Kerr
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 413
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
southern North Carolina
northeastern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 435 PM
until 200 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 90 mph possible
SUMMARY...With the landfall and inland migration of Isaias, the
potential for thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes may begin
to develop along northeastern South Carolina coastal areas by 6-8 PM
EDT, before increasing across and inland of southern North Carolina
coastal areas through late evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles south southwest of Myrtle
Beach SC to 35 miles north northeast of Wilmington NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 80 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 16025.
...Kerr
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 413 TORNADO NC SC CW 032035Z - 040600Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25SSW CRE/MYRTLE BEACH SC/ - 35NNE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /55ENE CHS - 25NNE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16025.
LAT...LON 33348014 34737872 34737661 33347806
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 413 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 413
VALID 040320Z - 040440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE CRE
TO 20 WSW ILM TO 20 ESE FAY.
..BROYLES..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 413
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-129-141-040440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
AMZ250-040440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 413
VALID 040200Z - 040340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 413
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-129-141-163-040340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER SAMPSON
$$
SCC043-051-040340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGETOWN HORRY
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-040340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 413
VALID 040200Z - 040340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..08/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 413
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-129-141-163-040340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER SAMPSON
$$
SCC043-051-040340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGETOWN HORRY
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-040340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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