Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 420
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
central Minnesota
southeastern North Dakota
northeastern South Dakota
northwestern Wisconsin
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 345
PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms, including a couple of supercells,
are expected to form across parts of the Red River Valley into west
central Minnesota late this afternoon, before consolidating into an
organizing cluster by early evening. This cluster of storms is
expected to then track east-southeastward across the remainder of
central Minnesota into northwestern Wisconsin by late evening.
Initial storms may pose a risk for severe hail, with some potential
for an isolated tornado or two, before strong wind gusts become the
primary severe hazard later this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Detroit Lakes MN to 70 miles east northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Kerr
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 420
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Fri Aug 7 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
central Minnesota
southeastern North Dakota
northeastern South Dakota
northwestern Wisconsin
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 345
PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms, including a couple of supercells,
are expected to form across parts of the Red River Valley into west
central Minnesota late this afternoon, before consolidating into an
organizing cluster by early evening. This cluster of storms is
expected to then track east-southeastward across the remainder of
central Minnesota into northwestern Wisconsin by late evening.
Initial storms may pose a risk for severe hail, with some potential
for an isolated tornado or two, before strong wind gusts become the
primary severe hazard later this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles southwest of
Detroit Lakes MN to 70 miles east northeast of Saint Cloud MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Kerr
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 420 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD WI 072045Z - 080600Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SW DTL/DETROIT LAKES MN/ - 70ENE STC/SAINT CLOUD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /26SSE FAR - 56SSW DLH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 47319655 46879270 44999270 45439655
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 420 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 420
VALID 080145Z - 080240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE VVV
TO 25 N AXN TO 25 SSW BJI.
..GOSS..08/08/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 420
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-009-017-021-025-035-053-057-059-065-067-093-095-097-
115-121-123-141-145-151-153-159-163-171-080240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BENTON
CARLTON CASS CHISAGO
CROW WING HENNEPIN HUBBARD
ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI
MEEKER MILLE LACS MORRISON
PINE POPE RAMSEY
SHERBURNE STEARNS SWIFT
TODD WADENA WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
$$
WIC013-031-095-109-080240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT DOUGLAS POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 420
VALID 072350Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE FAR
TO 10 N DTL TO 30 NNE DTL.
..GOSS..08/07/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 420
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-005-009-011-017-021-025-029-035-041-051-053-057-059-
065-067-093-095-097-111-115-121-123-141-145-149-151-153-155-159-
163-167-171-080040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BECKER
BENTON BIG STONE CARLTON
CASS CHISAGO CLEARWATER
CROW WING DOUGLAS GRANT
HENNEPIN HUBBARD ISANTI
KANABEC KANDIYOHI MEEKER
MILLE LACS MORRISON OTTER TAIL
PINE POPE RAMSEY
SHERBURNE STEARNS STEVENS
SWIFT TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA WASHINGTON WILKIN
WRIGHT
$$
NDC077-080040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND
$$
SDC109-080040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROBERTS
$$
WIC013-031-095-109-080040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT DOUGLAS POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 420
VALID 072240Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..08/07/20
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 420
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-003-005-009-011-017-021-025-027-029-035-041-051-053-057-
059-065-067-087-093-095-097-107-111-115-121-123-141-145-149-151-
153-155-159-163-167-171-072340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN ANOKA BECKER
BENTON BIG STONE CARLTON
CASS CHISAGO CLAY
CLEARWATER CROW WING DOUGLAS
GRANT HENNEPIN HUBBARD
ISANTI KANABEC KANDIYOHI
MAHNOMEN MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON NORMAN OTTER TAIL
PINE POPE RAMSEY
SHERBURNE STEARNS STEVENS
SWIFT TODD TRAVERSE
WADENA WASHINGTON WILKIN
WRIGHT
$$
NDC017-077-072340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RICHLAND
$$
SDC109-072340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ROBERTS
$$
WIC013-031-095-109-072340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURNETT DOUGLAS POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.